Residents of Germany will vote today (Sunday) in elections that will determine who will replace Chancellor Angela Merkel after 16 years in office, and in which direction the great economy in Europe will move. In Germany there are about 60 million eligible voters, and it is estimated that an unprecedented rate of about 40% of those who intend to vote have already done so by mail. Recent polls suggest a close race between the Social Democrats (SPD), who can return to power for the first time since 2005, and the Christian Democrats (CDU.CSU), Merkel’s party, which can retain power.

The polls in Germany open at nine in the morning (Israel time) and close at seven in the evening (Israel time), when the first samples and forecasts will also be published. Due to the large voter turnout in the post office, which stems in part from public concern about Corona, it is possible that the predictions that will be published will not be accurate as previous kilns. At a quarter past nine (Israel time), all party leaders will gather for what is known as the “Elephant Circle” – a televised meeting of all party leaders, where they will discuss the results of the samples and forecasts and the chances of possible coalitions.

Armin Lasht (60), the CDU candidate, will vote at noon in his hometown of Aachen near the border with the Netherlands and then fly to Berlin to announce the results of the samples. Olaf Schultz (63), the SPD candidate, will vote in Potsdam to which he moved from Hamburg, and then he will also reach the party headquarters in Berlin. The Social Democrats and the Green Party are expected to strengthen significantly in this election, compared to those held in 2017, while the Conservative Party is expected to suffer a loss against them. Still, the question is which coalition will be possible based on the results, and it is possible that the need to form a coalition of three parties – for the first time at the federal level – will complicate the negotiations.

Due to complex representation laws, which combine a general election with a regional election and allow compensation for parties in the event of a conflict between the results, the number of members of the German parliament is not yet known. The current parliament has about 709 members, but it is estimated that the parliament elected today will have no less than 800 representatives. A coalition of parties seeks to change these election laws during the coming tenure. The high blocking percentage in Germany stands at 5%, preventing the entry of new and extremist parties.

Is Germany on its way to the “traffic light” coalition in tomorrow’s election? What are the chances of a unity government returning, this time with the Conservatives in the role of the junior party? And why the key man may be the one who appears first in the picture below, formerly nicknamed “Bambi” because of his softness and age. Pre.election analysis, now on@globesnews

– Assaf Oni, Berlin (@AssafUni) September 25, 2021

The latest polls predict 25% for the Social Democrats, 23% for the Conservatives, 16% for the Greens, 12% for the Liberals, 10% for the “Alternative to Germany” and 6% for the “Left” from the left.

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