Mr. Trump can benefit from Mr. Biden's Israel policy

President Biden is being opposed for his policy of supporting Israel, which could create a springboard for Mr. Trump to make a breakthrough in the White House race.

Diplomats and world leaders have begun to worry that President Joe Biden’s steadfast support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s war in the Gaza Strip could cost him the November election.

In recent interviews with Politico, five foreign policy experts and former US government officials shared concerns that the prolonged conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine have increased the sense of “world instability”. “, making President Biden look weaker in the eyes of voters back home.

President Joe Biden spoke in Washington on April 12. Image: AP

This is in contrast to what happened during Donald Trump’s four years in office, when the world hardly witnessed any large-scale war. Although the current geopolitical landscape is very different from a few years ago, experts say it is still an important factor for American voters to consider when voting.

President Biden’s stance on the Israel-Hamas conflict is said to be one of the most worrying points. The White House boss still defends Israel’s campaign to attack the Gaza Strip to destroy Hamas.

President Biden recently increased his criticism of Prime Minister Netanyahu for civilian casualties in the war and tried to draw “red lines” for Israel, but the US still blocked some United Nations efforts to call for an end to the war. Stop fighting quickly.

But as the Gaza war dragged on, former President Trump had even more motivation to promote his “America First” policy in the race for the White House, breaking the broad diplomatic foundation that President Biden had strived for. established force during the 4-year term.

In Europe, disagreements with the US over Israel have increased, with some countries even angering Tel Aviv by recognizing a Palestinian state.

White House aides have so far tried to reduce political risks with President Biden by emphasizing his efforts to promote a peaceful framework for the conflict. In fact, most of Europe has publicly supported the United States in negotiating a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, considering this a crucial factor to help stabilize the region.

Before the G7 summit took place last weekend in Italy, the US persuaded the group’s leaders to issue a statement endorsing the draft ceasefire agreement and release of hostages in Gaza.

The G7 publicly expressed support after President Biden revealed a ceasefire proposal put forward by Israel to demonstrate that there is still a realistic path to stopping the gunfire in Gaza.

“All the G7 leaders we consulted with before the conference in Italy were focused on one overall goal of achieving a ceasefire in place and bringing the hostages home,” the national security adviser said. White House Jake Sullivan said on June 12. “That’s what will end suffering.”

A White House official said the process of convincing the G7 to support the ceasefire proposal was quite easy. Meanwhile, European officials said they felt uncomfortable when Prime Minister Netanyahu did not publicly support this proposal, although the US side confirmed that he had privately expressed his agreement with them.

“We are not disappointed with the US,” said a Western European official. “We are more disappointed with the Netanyahu government. We support US efforts to promote the ceasefire agreement.”

However, President Biden has not yet been able to reassure allies because of the level of his involvement in the conflict. Some of President Biden’s allies are starting to worry that it could cost him the election.

Heather Conley, a former US State Department official, said that current concerns and frustrations in Europe with President Biden’s approach to pressuring Israel to end the fighting must be placed in context. broader scene, including Ukraine. She argued that it is the lack of decisive action on crises that is causing political trouble for the White House boss.

“Some people are starting to question whether the United States is willing to show decisive leadership,” commented Conley, currently president of the German Marshall Fund, based in Washington.

President Biden has for months ignored calls for him to increase pressure on Israel’s leadership, calculating that maintaining relations with Prime Minister Netanyahu would give the United States the best chance at shaping the conflict. and ensure a ceasefire.

Close allies say the President also harbors a strong belief in the special relationship between Israel and the United States, a foundation that underpins his commitment to the conflict, even in the face of Prime Minister Netanyahu. increasingly difficult to control.

However, the US President’s efforts to pursue a ceasefire agreement have so far been fruitless, damaging domestic support momentum, as a mass of voters increasingly appear unable to bear the Painful images from Gaza.

Former US President Donald Trump in Las Vegas, Nevada, June 9. Image: AFP

In recent polls, most voters say they disapprove of President Biden’s handling of the crisis. Democrats also worry that the conflict will weaken the President’s approval rating among young and minority voters, support groups that are crucial to the White House boss in the election in November. 11.

President Biden’s allies in the US, as well as diplomats abroad, now increasingly see a ceasefire as the key to opening the door to a permanent end to the conflict, while also preventing the election chances of former President Trump, who threatens the relationship between the US and its allies around the world.

“We really want it to succeed,” a senior European official said, referring to US efforts to broker an Israel-Hamas ceasefire agreement.

Biden administration officials have dismissed concerns about the conflict’s impact on his reelection prospects, pointing out that polls show it is not among the top priorities for voters before the election. They have long believed that Biden’s political strength is continuously underestimated, both in the US and Europe.

But this is an issue that G7 leaders are watching closely even as they deal with a host of other issues during the summit in Italy. President Biden earlier last week sent Secretary of State Antony Blinken to the Middle East, in what many officials hoped was a sign of strengthening cease-fire negotiations.

The Biden administration said Hamas responded to the proposal from Israel with one of its own. According to national security adviser Sullivan, the White House is evaluating that response, although he cautioned that some of Hamas’ terms differ significantly from what Israel requested.

This means that ceasefire negotiations bring hope but also potential risks for the White House boss. If successful, it will increase President Biden’s prestige, but if it fails, this will be a serious setback for him in the race for the White House.

Both the US and its allies “are hoping and praying for a ceasefire agreement,” said Charles Kupchan, a former senior official on the National Security Council under former President Obama. “But external pressure has only a limited effect on both Israel and Hamas, as we have seen over the past few months.”

By Editor

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