Iran will respond to Israel. According to the United States press, the Islamic Republic is preparing an attack against its number one enemy in which it will use more powerful warheads and “other advanced weapons” not used in its two previous bombings in April and October of this year.
On April 13, Iran attacked Israel directly for the first time. That day, it fired about 300 missiles of various types and drones. Most were shot down by Israeli defense systems, with the help from the armed forces of the United States, the United Kingdom, France and Jordan. The attack It was in retaliation for an Israeli bombing of an Iranian embassy compound in Syriain which several commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) were killed.
Five days later, Israel responded with a “limited” attack against an anti-missile defense system in the Iranian region of Isfahannear its main nuclear center.
On October 1, Iran launched 200 ballistic missiles at Israel in response to the death of the political leader of Hamas, Ismael Haniyehmurdered in Tehran; the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah; and the elimination of Brigadier General Abbas Nilforoushana senior Iranian official.
The Israeli retaliation It took until October 26, when fighter planes and other means attacked targets related to the defense system of Iran and military bases that are working to improve their security systems. ballistic missiles.
Now Iran would be preparing the response. The American newspaper “The Wall Street Journal” said that Iranian and Arab officials who are informed about the plans told it that Tehran privately warned Egypt that His response to Israel will be “strong and complex.”
Furthermore, an Iranian official stated that because his army lost four soldiers and one civilian in the Israeli retaliation, it is necessary to respond. He added that his country has already issued warnings to Arab diplomats about the imminent attack.
The WSJ reported that its sources claimed that the attack could use Iraqi territory to launch projectiles and? Iran would target Israeli military facilities again, “but much more aggressively than the last time.”
The imminent attack would not be limited only to the use of ballistic missiles and explosive drones, sources added.
The WSJ report says that Iran’s army will be involved in the operationmarking a change from the April and October attacks, which were carried out by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
When will the attack occur? Iranian officials consulted by the WSJ said that The retaliation will be after the elections in the United States on November 5, but before the inauguration in January.
At the end of October, The United States strengthened its military power in the Middle Eastwith the dispatch of heavy bombers B-52, a squadron of Navy fighter planes, tankers and destroyers.
Furthermore, EThe United States has warned Iran that there would be “severe consequences” if it attacks Israel or to the United States, and has called for an end to the exchange of reprisals to prevent the entire region from descending into war.
“Israel exposed Iran’s weaknesses”
Andrés Gómez de la Torrea specialist in Defense and Intelligence issues, considers that There is a great military difference that is very favorable to Israel.
He added that in recent months, Iran has been trying to close a deal with Russia for the purchase of two squadrons of Sukhoi Su-35 fighter-bombers as a way to match their old arsenal that comes incredibly from North American manufacturing since the times of the Shah of Iranwhich was overthrown in 1979.
“Iran has a very old Air Force and with some ex-Soviet era aircraft purchased in the late 1980s and early 1990s, but which are already quite outdated in relation to current technologies,” Gómez de la Torre said to The Commerce.
“The air strikes carried out by Israel have recently shown that it was able to weaken and penetrate the Iranian air defense layer, which was supposed to be better prepared by missile systems SAM S-300 that it had acquired from the Russian Federation,” emphasized Gómez de la Torre.
Consequently, said the specialist, “Iran must assume as its own a great weakness in terms of not only combat aircraft, but also its air defense system.”
“So, any response to the attack carried out by the Israeli Air Force could have much more serious consequences, because in this latest attack Israel has strictly hit military targets and has avoided what the US had suggested, not attacking oil facilities and power plants. nuclear. In such a way that “Iran must think very carefully about how to respond, or eventually not respond.”he indicated.
For Gómez de la Torre, “If the Tehran regime really has an adequate perception of intelligence and strategy, it should continue in what it knows how to do best and most efficiently: indirect wars with support for its proxies in the Middle East region.”
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