Sanctions as a bargaining card? Trump strives for a new nuclear agreement with Iran

A few hours before the leadership session, Trump signed a new-old move in another arena: Iran. “They may not have nuclear weapons. It’s very simple. I’m not there restrictions – there’s one thing they can’t have,” Trump said after renewing the “maximum pressure” policy and returning heavy sanctions to the table. Thus, despite the expectations of various factors in Israel, the new White House administration is in no hurry to go to a military solution.

● Cannon and Electrical Stripe: The solutions presented to the Ministry of Defense for the IAF problem
● Exclusive | No longer secret: the meeting marking a historical approach between Israel and Qatar

Trump wrote in his Twitter account (X) that he aspires to “Iran will be a large and successful country, but one that cannot hold nuclear weapons. Reports that the US is going to bomb Iran in collaboration with Israel are very excessive. I prefer a lot more a true nuclear peace agreement that will allow Iran to grow and prosper in peace. We must start working on it immediately, and have a big celebration in the Middle East as it is signed and completed. ”

Despite the recruited talk, the president’s eyes did not disappear the fact that Tehran is in the most advanced phase of her nuclear program ever. According to the International Atomic Energy Agency (Saba), which was unveiled at the AFP news agency, Iran held as of the end of October 182.3 kg uranium is enriched to 60%.

Col. (res. 90% for nuclear weapons.

Before negotiating

Trump’s policy on Iran has not changed, for now, materially in relation to the previous term. However, on the Iranian side, much has changed a lot: Mahta’s protest that the illustrator has been exiled to the Iranian people as a whole and to the Iranian wives in particular tired and the regime. As far as the outward projection is concerned, the “resistance” developed by Iran to “strang” Israel has become particularly weak. Syria has become a pro -Turkish state in a pro -Iranian, Hezbollah in a historic crisis, and Hamas is trying to find a way to maintain its reign in the Gaza Strip.

As part of Trump’s maximum pressure, he renewed sanctions that are set to lower Iranian oil exports to zero. The Iranian industrial sector, which includes the oil industry, is a source of about 15% of Iranian GDP, and employs about a third of the country’s 25 million employees. Despite a 20% growth in Iranian oil exports in the past year, which was about 1.6 million barrels a day, An analysis of the companies and Kepler found that since October, near the US elections, exports dropped about half a million barrels a day.

“Trump cannot kill the Iranian economy, a fact that the North Korean economy did not kill either, but sanctions weaken the economy that is a weak point,” says Dr. Meir Jeshbanfer from a Lauder school to government, diplomacy and strategy at Reichman University. We are facing negotiations, and in the meantime, each one is trying to strengthen their hand.