Volodymyr Zelensky and its strategy to recover territories in the hands of Vladimir Putin: A viable negotiation?

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On Tuesday, in an interview with the British newspaper The Guardian, Zelensky He said he is willing to give up the lands that Ukraine Keep in Kursk in exchange for recovering territory held by Russia.

“We will exchange a territory for another,” he said Zelensky. He added that he does not know what part of the land occupied by Russia I would ask Ukraine In return: “I don’t know, we’ll see. But all our territories are important, there is no priority. ”

Zelensky He also talked about the access he can give Ukraine a USA to the Minerals of “Rare Earth” that there are in their territory and that have a growing relevance for economic, industrial and technological development.

Trump He said Tuesday that he was sending the United States Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Betting, To Ukraine to discuss Mineral resources of “Rare Earth”according to Reuters.

Zelensky He told The Guardian that he presented this idea to Trump In September, when they both met in New York, and that intends to return with “a more detailed plan ”about the opportunities for American companies both in the reconstruction of postwar ukraine and in the extraction of Ukrainian natural resources.

Moscow responded on Tuesday to the proposal for the exchange of territory and said it is impossible. “Russia will never address or address the issue of the exchange of our territory,” said Dmitri Peskov, presidential spokesman.

Peskov added that The Ukrainian forces will be expelled from Kursk. “Those who are not expelled will be liquidatedS, ”he warned.

Does Zelensky’s proposal have a future?

After Trump’s arrival in the United States on January 20, Ukraine faces uncertainty about the continuation of the vital aid of the United States, which adds to difficulties in the war frontthat have accentuated in the last year.

During your campaign, Trump promised to end the war in 24 hours, something that has not happened.

Zelensky He will meet Friday with the American vice president, JD Vanceduring the security conference that will be held in MunichGermany.

While the American special emissary, Keith Kelloggin charge of preparing a proposal the end of the conflict, will visit Ukraine Next week.

In this context, this Wednesday the United States Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegsethhe said that It is not “realistic” that Ukraine can return to its borders prior to 2014when Russia began to occupy its territories, nor that I can enter the OTAN as a result of a peace agreement.

He added that “a lasting peace for Ukraine It must include solid security guarantees that ensure that war will not start again. “

On the territorial exchange proposal, the international analyst Francesco Tucci said to Commerce what For now for Russia it is not acceptablebut added that you have to wait for the pressure that the administration can exert at this point Trump“Because the president has made it clear that his country can no longer provide notable amounts of economic resources to Ukraine.”

“The proposal of Zelenskybecause in one way or another you must also face what Trump wants, because Trump already wants to close the pipe from the funds. So, he has referred to the possibility of Rare earth exploitation. It is a coin to continue keeping the United States’s back, ”said Tucci.

Will Trump accept the proposal and resume the sending of weapons? Tucci believes that being essentially an entrepreneur, Trump Not only does it reason in strategic terms, but also in terms of business.

“If you see a profit, a benefit, you are likely to take this proposal into account. If you do not consider it profitable from an economic point of view, then the proposal of Zelensky He will stay there. And despite the American pressures, the negotiation for peace between the two states must occur on other bases, “he said.

“For now, both the proposals of the Russia Federation as of Ukraine They have been mutually rejected. The configuration of the geographical space that must be taken into account to draw new borders has already changed, and the pressures will be strong. You have to see if the Ukrainian administration will be willing to accept the annexation of Crimea That, eye, internationally has been rejected since 2014, but now it is at the negotiation table, ”he noted.

Tucci commented that Trump wants to go down in history as the president who brought peace to Ukraine and Russia.

But that peace can be given by accepting only the conditions of Putin, whose main demand is that the Ukrainian territory that currently occupies its troops is recognized as Russian?

Tucci answered with a question: “What is worse than a war? A poorly negotiated peace. “

“A poorly negotiated peace leads to another conflict, unfortunately. And we have historical examples, the most forceful has been the treaty of Versailles, which marked the end of World War I and the humiliation of Germany. That favored German revanchism and Hitler’s rise. So, Peace must be negotiated and satisfy the two parties”Said Tucci.

“If one of the two parts falls short with their claims, it is possible that the conflict can be resumed within a few years, and this could be harder than the current one, especially because nationalism can be encouraged from one part or another ”He warned.

Andrés Gómez de la Torre specialist in defense and intelligence issues, he highlighted Commerce that the possibility of a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia has slowed down the complexity that the nature of the conflict means. He added that Trump He is now looking for several options to capture his proposal, and that the key will be the Munich Security Conference on Friday, where The United States would make public its plan to end the war.

“It would be a high initial fire as a way of freezing the conflict without definition of sovereignty, and with the guarantees to Ukraine that it would not be attacked again by Russia,” said Gomez de la Torre.

As for the rare earth, Gómez de la Torre indicated that there is a problem when Zelensky He speaks of administration or shared profits, because “he does not speak as Trump to buy those lands. To this is added the location, which in many cases is in de facto possession of the Russian forces or very close or very threatened by the Russian military potential ”.