The development of artificial intelligence (AI) awakens both enthusiasm and fear. While it promises to facilitate daily life and improve multiple labor aspects, it also raises questions about its Impact on employment And, in a more extreme scenario, about its Potential threat to humanity. Elon Muskone of the most influential referents in the technological world, argues that AI has Between 10% and 20% of probabilities of turn againstof human beings. But what does this estimate base?
During his participation in the Future Investment Initiative in November last year, Tesla and Spacex’s tycoon said that AI represents a significant risk For humanity. “I agree with Geoff Hinton the possibilities of becoming against humans are of a 10% o 20%“Musk said, referring to Geoffrey Hinton, known as the” AI sponsor “for his contributions to the development of neural networks. Hinton, however, is one of the greatest critics of the current use of this technology, warning about the growing inequality that could generate.
Despite these risks, Musk considers that the advance of AI is a betting. His position has evolved over time: when he was not directly involved in this field, he was more skeptical; Now, with its own initiatives in artificial intelligence, its enormous potential stands out. In fact, in recent days He tried (without success) Buy Openai the company behind Chatgpt.
In Silicon Valley there is a concept known as (p)dooma variable that measures the potential danger of technology For humanity. Although it is mentioned with some irony in technological circles, it has no scientific support. In that context, Musk’s warning seems more a personal appreciation than an analysis based on specific data.
Data and self -learning: the future of AI according to Musk
Elon Musk is now Donald Trump’s official. (Photo: Reuters)
Musk has also raised Criticism about the dependence of AI in the information available on the Internet. In a recent interview with Mark Penn, he said that current models, such as ChatGPTthey train with large volumes of data extracted from the web, but that the speed of generating new content is not enough to meet the needs of the AI.
The problem is that the use of old or biased data It could lead to inaccurate or erroneous results. To avoid this limitation, Musk proposes a paradigm shift: the Self -learning through synthetic data. Instead of relying exclusively on the information generated by humans, IA could develop and evaluate their own data which would allow them to evolve autonomously and offer more precise answers.
While this idea raises technical and ethical challenges, it could mark a before and after in the development of AI. The possibility of having systems that dynamically adapt to different contexts without depending on external sources could revolutionize the technological sector.
Ia vs. Professionals: The debate on the future of work
Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and Spacex. (Photo: Reuters)
Another of the most controversial aspects around AI is its Impact on employment. Musk launched a specific warning on the future of professions such as medicine and the right. Through his X account (formerly Twitter), he said: “The AI will soon surpass doctors and lawyers for a wide margin (and, eventually, all humans in almost everything)”.
The comment was an answer to Bindu Reddy, CEO of an AI company, who assured that an artificial intelligence system with access to all laboratory reports could diagnose diseases with greater precision than human professionals. Similarly, he stressed that lawyers could also be displaced by automated systems. To support his statement, Reddy shared an article from The New York Times He mentions a study where a chatbot from AI surpassed human doctors in the evaluation of clinical records.
Musk took his argument a step further, suggesting that humans could end up performing a secondary role in the AI era. “We can serve as a biological support of intelligence, since We are less fragile than silicon and perhaps as a source of will, “he concluded.
While some celebrate the technological advance, others observe with concern the impact it could have on the social and work structure. As in so many other technological revolutions, the key will be in how the balance between progress and human impact.
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