Trump must demonstrate that he is the right choice. Beijing? It will try to fill the void.

For the European Union, the problem of how to act. “We have heard many things -underlines Pastori -, but Beyond a generic commitment we have not seen anything concrete“. What Russia is doing is “pressing in a very strong way so that the role of Europe in these negotiations is the least possible or totally absent”. The dilemma to be resolved is to understand if Europe has a desire to strengthen or if we find ourselves in front of a union “with variable geometry -as she describes she shepherds -, with someone running forward and others that remain behind”. From a practical point of view, underlines the researcher, If “Europe wants to think of an autonomous defense policy must start thinking about the means” to achieve it. The European defense sector “is still quite weak” and “the increase in spending goes to finance the American military industry”.

A new scenario opens, that is, how much the approach to the Russia of the USA serves to weaken the Beijing Axis-Moste “China will try to fill the void.” “Putin has a lot to earn on a lower dependence on Beijing -says Pastori -. Trump was reserved on China even if he had said fire and flames in the election campaign. ” Without forgetting Taiwan, towards which the White House has threatened rates: “I wonder if this attitude does not aim to bring the island to invest in the US territory”. It is not a war on the historic ally, but “I think you are moving in the usual logic of Trump: you will make your arm you bring your investments from me” explains the researcher. “At this moment the White House is trying to disengage the United States from non -priority theaters” He concludes, the real policy towards China and Taiwan is still to be seen.