Israel must not fall into the pit that Iran is digging for it

Iran launched 181 ballistic missiles this evening (Tuesday) at Israel. An attack that not only requires a response, but requires one. However, this does not mean that Israel should fall into a pit that Iran is laying for it, one that is completely similar to the strategy that Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah tried to implement during 11 months of a full-scale multi-arena campaign, while Hamas was also functioning.

Now, the military wing of Hamas is decisive, the IDF forces are maneuvering in southern Lebanon, the military leadership of Hezbollah has been wiped out – and the Shiite terrorist organization is at a historic low. This is exactly the reason why Iran carried out this attack. It is not for nothing that they turned this attack into a kind of “deal “package” of one response to the elimination of three: Ismail Haniyeh, Abbas Nilproshan and Hassan Nasrallah. Iran does not care about the Sunni Haniyeh, and therefore did not respond until Hezbollah was not in such a situation.

In the Ayatollah regime, they are trying, in fact, on a wider scale – to draw Israel into a full-scale multi-arena campaign with Iran as well. All this, in an attempt to allow Hezbollah to survive. Therefore, Israel should carefully examine its response. The message line of an attack “across the Middle East” is true in the context of the battle of consciousness, but on the ground it requires a strategy and not a battle of phalanxes. And no, revenge is not a strategy – revenge is revenge. And nothing else.

Iran is trying to draw Israel into responding alone

In Tehran, they understand very well that the democratic administration in the US is reluctant to approach me, when the election of Vice President Kamala Harris against former President Donald Trump will take place on November 5. Therefore, at this stage, they are trying to draw Israel into responding alone, without direct American involvement. Washington’s current line of messages that “Israel has the right to self-defense”, do not need the USA. The right to protect citizens against an enemy state is enshrined in Article 51 of the United Nations Charter.

Contrary to the Iranian interest, Israel is required first and foremost for intensive diplomatic activity with the American administration, and to make it clear that the stage of implementation of President Joe Biden’s words that Iran must not have a nuclear threat has arrived. Everyone in the Western world understands the consequences of a nuclear weapon in such a country. It is enough to look at Tehran’s friend, North Korea, to understand the consequences. If they engage the USA in a combined Israeli-American attack against the American nuclear facilities, then this would be the best option.

Another option that will be very painful for the Ayatollah regime and may have a more significant impact on Iranian society is damage to the oil infrastructure. While Iran’s GDP grew by 4.7% last year, according to the International Monetary Fund, the oil component jumped by 19%. That is, damage to Iran’s oil infrastructure will crash its economy, no less. However, it will also increase oil prices. , another development that the Democrats in Washington will not be happy to see.

It is possible to hurt the Iranians without show attacks

If the Americans do not engage in kinetic military action, this does not mean that Israel does not have to respond. She will be required to respond with no sense. According to foreign publications, the Natanz uranium enrichment facility was compromised in 2010, using the Stuxnet computer worm. In an operation attributed to Israeli-American cooperation, control systems manufactured by “Siemens” were damaged. A decade later, both countries were attributed a cyber attack on the strategic Bandar Abbas port, which led to chaos. Beyond that, of course, according to foreign publications, Israel attacked Hezbollah by exploding pagers and radios.

In conclusion, those attacks show that it is possible to hurt the Iranians without show attacks, and at the present time a show attack will not serve the Israeli interest. In Jerusalem, a response is required, but one that meets the goals of the war: the return of the abducted, and the safe return of the residents of the north and the surrounding area to their homes. If you want to achieve this, a massive and flamboyant response is not the way.