Our world is in the hottest period since the end of the Cold War: a war has been raging in Europe for more than a year and a half, in the Asia-Pacific region the Chinese are showing increasing enthusiasm for war with Taiwan, in the Middle East an “Iron Swords” war is breaking conventions on everything we have known in the region, and even in Oceania we see the The French get involved in New Caledonia.
What most of these arenas have in common, at least, is the presence of BRICS countries. The alliance, which is intended to be a “counterweight” to the G7, is present all over the world, and occupies a more central place in every field. The name BRICS is indeed an acronym for Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, but today it also includes Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt and Ethiopia as new members. This trend indicates the growing attention that the alliance is paying to the area where Israel is located.
Broadly speaking, BRICS is an alliance that is impossible to ignore. The proportion of the power of the G7 countries (the USA, Canada, Japan, Germany, France, Italy and the UK) in the global GDP was reduced from about 43.3% in 2000 to about 29.6% this year. For the purpose of comparison, if Saudi Arabia decides to exercise its right to join BRICS as a full member, then the alliance will lose about 29% of the world’s GDP, include about 46% of the world’s population, 43% of the oil output, and a quarter of the exports of goods.
From the Israeli angle, BRICS is in the trend of absorbing countries that are hostile to Israel. Iran is, as mentioned, already a full member, when at the conference in Kazan 13 other countries joined as partners, including Algeria, Bolivia, Cuba and Turkey. Recently, a war of versions has been going on, when it was reported in the German “Bild” that India refuses the inclusion of Ankara as a full member of the alliance. Turkey denied it, but considering regional events from the past year – it is likely that there are things going on.
Israel must turn its full attention to BRICS
When US President Joe Biden presented in September of last year his corridor plan to connect Europe with India, it made more economic sense for him to start it in Turkey. However, the plan that was presented included a connection from Piraeus to Haifa, and from there through Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to India. The reason for this It lies in New Delhi: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is not ready to promote Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in the international arena, due to his close relationship and the supply of arms to the great enemy – Pakistan.
Thus, Modi, the leader of the world’s fastest growing power, becomes the main obstacle against Erdogan in the international arena. In practice, he disrupts the Turkish president from realizing his concept, because “the world is bigger than five”. In other words, the world is bigger than the five permanent members with the right of veto in the UN Security Council and Turkey, in his view, deserves a permanent place there just as much.
Modi’s strength in BRICS, the extensive cooperation of the Israeli defense industries with India, centered on Elbit and the Aerospace Industry, and the supply of military equipment during the war, testify to how much the State of Israel is required to pay full attention to expanding relations with New Delhi. Unlike European countries, the Indian legal system is also On Israel’s side: the Supreme Court of India refused to order the delay in the supply of military supplies to Israel, because it was an exception to its powers within the framework of the democratic separation of powers principle.
India has, already today, great international power, which is not only reflected in the Turkish issue. In Iran, the “Indian Ports” company operates the strategic Chabahar port, and Tehran collects revenues from transporting goods from Russia through its territory – to India. Therefore, President Massoud Pazkhian, who needs sources of income, met with Modi on the sidelines of the BRICS convention, with the aim of expanding cooperation between the countries in the field of logistics corridors.
Modi also exploits, for him, the effects of the war in Ukraine on Russia, and the international boycott that results from it. Indian oil imports from Russia jumped by about 900% from the pre-war period (February 2022) until 2023: from 4.5 million tons in 2021 to about 82 million tons in 2023. This is a somewhat ironic situation because the Indian refineries treat the oil, and send it to Europe. Another BRICS company that took advantage of Moscow’s situation in the oil field is China, in whose case the increase in the volume of imports was “only” about a third: from 80 million tons to 107 million tons. Today, these two countries together account for about 78% of Russian oil exports, compared to 32% in 2021. So according to the Oil Price website. Bottom line, the volume of Indian black gold imports at a time when the oil and natural gas sector makes up about 17% of the Russian GDP, brings New Delhi’s pressure on Moscow.
Actually getting closer to BRICS in general and India in particular, the State of Israel will not reinvent the wheel. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, who often criticizes Israel against the background of the war, was present at the BRICS conference in Kazan and it is clear that he tried to woo the various leaders. One embarrassing situation among many was when he embraced the dictator of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, whose assistance in Putin’s invasion of Ukraine is well known. In Jerusalem, you can choose to be outraged by this, or learn from it.
Israel, apparently, will not join NATO, the European Union and the G7 in the foreseeable future. Therefore, it must now turn its full attention to BRICS. At a time when the US’s influence in the world is diminishing and everyone with an understanding sees how the currents that are rising From the American street are becoming more and more anti-Israel, friendship with as many BRICS members as possible is required, with the goal that the interests of Jerusalem will be preserved in the international arena even in the long term.
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