The government does not want urns until October

The Government’s strategy is the spraying of any power construction that may face it in management and, in the months, in the legislative renewal elections. The tactic is to extend the deadlines and take them as soon as possible in the year.

Guillermo Francos explained it to the senators with whom a photo was taken last Wednesday. “We want to go directly to the general elections of October”. That is, without the slippery intermediation of the primary Paso.

The objective is to prevent the opposition from removing the crisis in which the 2023 electoral process was plunged, from which only Christian Peronism has been saved, which seems armored to any risk of division.

Another – classic tool in weak governments – is to embark on politics and, incidentally, society, in discussions of issues on which there are support and dissidents that cross all sectors. They did previous governments with the decriminalization of abortion, for example – Macri and the Fernández-.

The forces that made him president to Javier Milei (the vote of Cambiemos, which retained in a very high percentage to knock down Peronism in ballotage) were frayed. That state of the friendly opposition that has allowed the ruling party to spend the year with a docile congress has consented to its cease excesses and has allowed a management by the emergency and DNU route.

When going to the polls, however, that fragmentation turns against it. He believes to be able to compensate for that liability with the future results of the management and for that he needs time, as long as possible before that exam in the dark room.

The objective of gaining time has a serious adversary in the CABA district governing the Macri, who have already warned that the Milei intends to dethrone them of power in the main district that governs the pro.

The most effective tool to contradict the Olivos project is to advance the local elections to legislators and community members as much as possible. Today the date negotiated with the Peronism of CABA, whose votes are necessary for a suspension of the step, is the May 11. If that is achieved, the Buenos Aires macrismo will go to the elections with a competitive force, which instead can lose if the elections are delayed.

The Peronism of the district, on the other hand, also believes to benefit from the overtaking because it separates those local elections from the internal debate for the integration of national candidates lists for October.

His intention is to exploit the tension that exists between the Peronism of CABA, Sanctuary of Fernandism that ruled the country until 2023, and the Peronism of Cristina de Kirchner, head of the party in the national order.

The instrument to achieve this spray is to break all loyalties in the friendly opposition parties and serve as an instrument of the internal division.

Trust two assumptions: 1) That the government overflows with popularity and can improve any electoral offer of any party; 2) That his program for the economy expresses the same intention they had, of various ways, four of the five candidates in the first electoral round of 2023.

This consensus allows you to trust that 29% of Milei’s votes in that electoral round climbed up to an unbeatable support today in the electoral market. The other tool is to trust advertising as a program.

The production and dissemination of optimistic narratives and strident stereotypes through communication appears as the main public task of the government. In the week the government passed, in this regard, produce three photos.

One, the most important, show it to the president with Donald Trump. Two, exhibit it to Miguel Pichetto with Cristian Ritondo, Rodrigo de Loredo and other caciques of friendly blocks of deputies, in the Casa Rosada next to Guillermo Francos. THE THIRD, AN IMagen of Franks with Victoria Villarruel.

Of the three photos, the government achieved only one, that of Villarruel. When the Federal Meeting Block reproached the Government why they had not agreed to go to the lower house, but to the Senate, they replied: QWe wore the photo with Villarruel to remedy the Inquins. And the other two photos? I will be due.

The absence of images with the new president of the US renews the question about the three old enigmas of Argentina’s public life: 1) Where the little birds will die; 2) Who stays with the prettiest girls; 3) Where is Milei’s photo with Trump.

It cost so much to approach Washington’s galas that it could well perform some visual testimony. Macedonio Fernández would have said: There were so many photos of Milei with Trump, that one more and did not enter. Of those hats the only thing there was a very discreet telephone conversation between Trump and … Mauricio Macri.

The battle in CABA between the national government and that of the Macri is the scene of all skirmishes. It justifies that this Monday Mauricio will make an appearance in the capital. It interrupts your stay in Cumelén to head a meeting of the Federal Table of the PRO on Monday and review the conditions that can allow you to the letter alliances in different districts.

That table was integrated last year, and has worked in silence to imagine in what places the PRO has to fight with freedom, where not, and in this case under what conditions.

The regional managers are integrated: Jorge Triaca (Cuyo Region), Humberto Schiavoni (NEA), Sebastián García de Luca (center), Francisco Quintana (Noa), Guillermo Dietrich (logistics throughout the country).

The provinces that governs the PRO – CABA, Chubut, Entre Ríos – are in charge of its governors. The central interest is in CABA, where Jorge Macri has closed a discreet agreement with the local Peronism that Juan Manuel Olmos (President of Congress) and Mariano Recalde (President of the Council).

It consists of what Peronism will support the suspension of the passage in the city only after the National Congress approves that project in the Chamber of Deputies.

In this agreement the National Pro must achieve the average sanction in Congress and, only after that, the PJ of the CABA will give the votes for the same. This suspension triggers the overtaking of local elections to May 11.

The ruling and the opposition ended the week convinced that there are no votes to repeal the passage in a definitive way, but to suspend them. The reason is that none of the forces is convinced whether or not they are convenient for them.

The forces are also divided over where they can be suspended and where not. It is something that makes more opacity to decisions. La Libertad progresses asks for elimination in the national order, but does not want it in the city because it benefits the PRO. The pro also wants them in CABA, but it does want to sustain them in the national order. The same happens in Peronism.

Half of Peronism in the cameras does not want them and the other half does want them. Cristina de Kirchner has confessed in her conversations of the last week that the system does not like but that being opposition today may not agree that in national legislative, Peronism in some districts goes to the divided polls.

He has heard the opinion of, among others, Sergio Massa and Gerardo Zamora, who want to repeal them. The same duality appears in the other blocks, such as the UCR and Federal Meeting. Pichetto is closer to repealing them, and Ricardo López Murphy believes them useful to resolve differences in opposition parties.

The general criterion is that the passage agree with the parties that are in the opposition, with difficulties in integrating front That nobody complains.

The deputy Nicolás Massot, of meeting, has developed more precisely the convenience of reforming the step in the debate of the Congress to save what can be agreed.

For example, that they are volunteer, that they do not govern for legislative positions and only for executives, or flatten the times to the maximum so that the process of passage and generals will be carried out completely within a maximum period of 90 days. This is to avoid the Calvary of the Pato Rengo, when a government loses the passage and its power collapses to the assumption of the new chosen ones.

We must also save the financing of the elections – object of another reform project that has gone to Congress. MASSOT negotiates with the other blocks and some wildlife to convince them that it is the opportunity to remember what the system was like before.

For more defective and faces that have been, they meant the twilight of the party oligarchies that poisoned the parties and turned them, with exceptions such as the UCR, in cathedrals of internal authoritarianism.

The haste that the government wants to impose and some parties such as the PRO and the PJ of CABA may not give time to that this reform is included in the project approved by Congress. That haste can justify the suspension, which is the only thing that seems to have votes in this round.

The Buenos Aires advance puts the capital of Argentina in bustle in bustle in the quantity of votes. The fight of the local government with Peronism and Freedom advances, which has the common goal of overthrowing them from power that they exert for almost 20 years, agitates the spirits and adds candidates willing to score in that kermesse.

Mauricio Macri admitted that he will play and imagine him as first in a list of national senator candidates. The Cantamañanas imagine that they can put Patricia Bullrich in front of Olivos.

Horacio Rodríguez Larreta imagines a role in the lists of legislators, just like Jorge Telerman. But Horacio also kneads the idea of ​​confronting Senator with Macri. Elisa Carrió has not dropped the candidacy in capital, to Senator or National Deputy.

The meeting party is Miguel Pichetto, who can be a candidate for senator for capital, but also for Río Negro. You saw any list, with the insurance that you have two mandates as a national deputy. It has in that function a central gravitation in the management of the Chamber of Deputies, perhaps of a higher level than during the 19 years that he was a national senator of Peronism and with the head of the block.

The news of the week was that Guillermo Francos had met with deputies – from Loredo, Ritondo – but that Pichetto had not gone. This exercises a key role in Congress, but several of its members face this year the need to renew the bank.

In the province of Buenos Aires Encuentro has decided to go with a list with three of its stars, Emilio Monzó, Florencio Randazzo and Margarita Stolbizer.

In Córdoba he has to renew the secretary of the Oscar Agost Carreño bench and the party is attentive to some understanding with the Cordoba of Juan Schiaretti and Martín Llaryora. Natalia de la Sota and Ignacio García Aresca also renew on that district.

By Sante Fe ends the socialist Mónica Fein. Schiaretti received the former governor of Río Negro Arabela Carrera for the week. Those links expand speculation. Diego Bossio was head of Schiaretti campaign in the last presidential and can end up in the lists of national meeting deputies in the capital.