The stock exchanges are closed on Chinese New Year’s Eve; The Niki is locked in stability

Trade Review: Current reports, trends, metrics, stock gates, bonds, forex and goods and analysts’ recommendations

09:00

This morning in Asia, most of the stock exchanges are closed on Chinese New Year. In Japan, the Niki is locked around the base levels.

The future contracts in the US are traded this morning.

Last night, Wall Street, after a volatile trade in which the declines were exacerbated after the Fed’s interest rate message (extension down), trading was locked in moderate declines. NASDAC fell by only 0.3%, S&P 500 by 0.3% and video Jones was locked in stability.

Anabiya Last last night, he dropped about 4% but recovered a little in the late trade. In the market, we were waiting for Microsoft Matza and Tesla’s quarterly reports. The effect of these reports on Anbiya is great. Investors have been waiting to hear what companies will report to say about their future investments in AI infrastructure, in the shadow of the latest events and developments after Deepseek, which claimed that its model presented high efficiency, although it was invested in relatively low amounts using older chips.

As far as reports are concerned with the three technology giants, Metaph Reported $ 48.4 billion in revenue, thus overtaking the $ 46.9 billion analysts. In the profit bar, the company reported $ 8.02 a share, thus bypasing analysts’ forecasts, which was $ 6.76 per share. Now, after publishing the reports, the stock responds with a 1% increase in late Wall Street trading. The company did not publish a forecast for 2025, but said that the first quarter revenue would grow at a lower rate than the expected.

Tesla Present $ 27.51 billion in revenue, compared to the $ 27.61 billion analysts. Profit for the share amounted to 73 cents, compared to 76 cents for the share. After publishing the stock reports, more than 3% in the late Wall Street trading. Earlier this month, the company, which provided 495,570 vehicles in the fourth quarter, reported a 7.1% increase in the previous quarter and 2.3% of the corresponding quarter last year.

Microsoft In the quarter, she recorded $ 69.6 billion in revenue, compared to the expectations of analysts who parked $ 68.8 billion in revenue. The coordinated profit (Non -GAAP) is $ 3.23 – compared to the forecast that overlooks $ 3.11 per share. In the corresponding quarter last year, Microsoft reported $ 62 billion and $ 2.93 per share. Revenues from the cloud division were disappointed and stood at $ 25.5 billion, slightly below viewers, $ 25.9 billion. Azure service growth and general income were $ 40.98 billion compared to a $ 41.1 billion expectation.

Today at the end of the Wall Street trading will publish their financial results dark andIntel .

In the American debt market, government bonds are slightly declining this morning (Thursday), the 10-year return decreases in 4 base points and trades around 4.45%.

Bloombard Awar estimate that uncertainty around American policy may lead to continued volatility in the markets, with interest rates already reflect some of the concerns since December 2024, especially in long-term bonds:

“The rise of US government bonds at the end of 2024 and the beginning of 2025 hit the stock pricing and reduced their security space to negative surprises. However, inflation data is lower than expected to strengthen the dysinfation trend and calm the markets.

“We estimate that the 10-year government bond yields will stand around 4.5% in the next 12 months, which may reduce stock pricing pressure. Accordingly, we continue to prefer corporate bonds, which have a higher return potential than government bonds in those DIPS, utilizing the relative stability of the risk interval. American corporate bonds are expected to continue to enjoy economic policy. The government will remain exposed to threats of budget deficit and growing financing needs. ”

In the macro sector, as mentioned, last night, the US Central Bank left interest rates unchanged, on a 4.5%level. The Fed’s decision arrived last night after three consecutive interest rates, starting from September 2024, which amounts to the download of a whole percentage in three months, from 5.5% in September to 4.5% today.

The statement published last night after the announcement provided a number of clues about the decision to leave interest rates unchanged. She reflected a slightly more optimistic position on the labor market, while removing a major reference from December Declaration, which states that “inflation has recorded progress toward the target target of 2% but continues to be somewhat high.” According to the new wording: “Inflation continues to be somewhat high.” Powell described this change as technical only and stated that “we are still committed to lowering interest rates to 2%.”

Regarding Trump’s intervention and his demand for interest rates, Federal Reserb, Jerome Powell said at the press conference that he did not talk to President Donald Trump since his statements last week, “I had no contact with Trump.”

Later on Thursday, US growth data is expected to be published for the last quarter of 2024. By about 0.25% to 2.9%.

Swiss bank experts Lombard Odier estimates that the US economy will realize a 2.4% proportion of this year. In a special review on President Donald Trump’s second term, they expect “Trump’s economic agenda, based on de-regulation and reducing taxes, will continue to support The relative advantage of the American economy. “At the same time, they say,” investors’ attention is now focusing on the government’s cover policy. Alongside immigration policy that may create a lack of manpower, import lids may lead to an increase in US inflation and impair consumption – which is the main growth engine of the American economy. ”