US trade war with its biggest partners is just the beginning

A war broke out in North America yesterday. The US President declared it on the two huge neighbors, Canada and Mexico, the US largest trade partnership. This is not a war of tanks or aircraft, but of lids. But the economic and human damages it is about to cater against those of war with hot weapons.

Donald Trump declared a trade war. He cast a 25% cover on the above two, adding 10% lids on China. He also said he plans “something significant” for the EU.

He imposed the high covers on two close friendships of the US, its partners in a large free trade agreement.

One of the partnership, Canada, has a formal US alliance, a friend alongside the Northern Atlantic alliance (NATO). She fought alongside her in two world wars.

“The most dumb trade war in history,” Wall Street Journal announced on Saturday. The newspaper’s vaporia (as opposed to its news pillars) supported Trump’s choice for President. The newspaper quotes a famous Litz of the late historian Bernard Lewis, “it is dangerous to be an enemy of America, but deadly is to be one of its hands.”

Punish, harm, humiliate

The deep hostility that has noted Trump’s moves in recent days has left no room for doubt: he finishes to punish, harm and humiliate.

He explicitly said he had no interest in reaching a compromise agreement before imposing the lids. The Mexican and the Canadians went out of their way to convince him with their intentions.

Since Trump’s main complaints have touched on Canada and Mexico’s negligence in maintaining their long borders with the US, the two governments announced concrete steps. Canada flowed more than $ 1 billion to improve security on the common border; Mexico took a series of steps to prevent illegal immigrants from taking care US, or asking for asylum on its land.

If he wanted to, Trump could have argued at least temporarily to allow non -fire negotiations. But he and his people rejected Canada and Mexico attempts to appease him. To Canada, he returns the advice, which she will give up on its independence, and expose the US, and then no cover will be imposed.

Doug Ford, the right -wing and popular prime minister of Canada, Ontario, Toronto is his capital, declared that “a knife cannot be brought to a gun. We must hurt the most painful place for Americans.”

David Avi (EBY), the left Prime Minister of British Columbia, the main rope in West Canada, Schonkover is his capital, called on the Canadians to boycott alcoholic beverages from the United States.

Canadians find it difficult to believe

Canada is in the midst of a political crisis. Her prime minister Justin Terrodo announced his intention to resign, and time the parliament until his party was selected. But for the past two weeks he has tried to talk about Trump’s heart. He sent senior ministers to Washington. He returned to Trump on the phone. US President refused to talk to the Canadian Prime Minister. It is simply difficult to believe in the Bible.

Either way, Trudo prepared a counter-blow. The night between Saturday and Sunday (Israel Clock), he cast a 25% on more than $ 100 billion of American exports. Since Trump has been preceded by the USA to reward a compassionate quota, the trade war seems to be exacerbated.

Canada will be the main casualty. Ontario Prime Minister estimated that half a million Canadians would lose their jobs, especially in the automotive industry, and a government subsidy would be required to be the Corona days to protect the Canadian living sources. The previous subsidy totaled $ 56 billion of US.

The press conference held by Strodo held late at night in most of the leaders of a leader who announces defeat. He looks bleak, tired and sad. His political estate is usually translated into 20% popularity in public opinion surveys. But there is almost no doubt that this time he spoke on behalf of a huge majority of Canadians, when he said, that March “is amazed at why our friends and neighbors are the closest chooses to make us the goal instead of concentrating with no other multi-challenging parts all over the world.” He added, “I don’t think a lot of Americans wake up in the morning, saying, ‘Oh, in the wind, Canada. Oh, we really have to take care of Canada.’

This whole thing could have been the character of Oparta, or Parcel. 30 years ago, left American filmmaker Michael Moore has directed a film about an American president, trying to improve his popularity through a war on Canada. But this time we were interested in an American president who won the elections, and his popularity in the polls is a sign of an increase.

Opioids and vehicles

Why is he doing this? Trump says he punishes Canada and Mexico for a massive smuggling of Pentanil, a deadly opioid, to the US. He also punish Mexico for immigrant infiltration.

But US opioid consumption is not exactly the fault of Mexico; and commercial deficits are too mechanical. The three economies are incorporated into each other to the extent that their separation involves bleeding and pain in all three. This is especially evident in the vehicle factories, Trump complains of their departure beyond the border. This is not the case so simple. Vehicles are often made up of all three countries at the same time, and they cross boundaries back and forth.

Analysis of Economists at Yale University shows that every US family will lose an average of $ 1,170 as a result of the lids, and its losses will grow even more following counter lids. Therefore, at least two are already gum; and see what you will do. May cost $ 3,000. We’ll see what will take place at the gas stations. Trump is ready to settle for a 10% customs on Canadian oil, but that will increase inflationary pressure too.

The lessons that are painfully relevant to every country dependent on proper two-sided relationships with the US. Governments must be careful to assume that they can completely trust the agreements signed with the US. “America first” was a brilliant election slogan. Its translation for the act of action brings the US and the international system into a historic crisis.