Consultants foresee in national agricultural production

Mexico went from ninth to the tenth place among the largest agrifood producers in the world as a result of factors such as drought, lack of productivity and insecurity, said the agricultural market consulting group. By 2025, the panorama is not an advance, since he anticipates the third consecutive year with fall in production.

In your report Thirty years of agri -food transformationthe private agency predicts that Mexico will end 2025 with a reduction of 0.4 percent from the 281 million 500 thousand tons of 2024. Down figure, from the 293 million of 2023 and the record of 294 million of 2022.

Mexico has lost a place in the category of the largest agri -food producers in the world and with the fall we forecast will link three years down due to the theme of drought; Also, because we have not promoted productivity, all added to insecurity. The lack of right has caused some sectors to stop producingsaid Juan Carlos Anaya, general director of the group.

Contrary to previous years, in 2025 the decrease in production will be reflected in the market value of these products, since it will go from $ 100 billion reported in 2024 to around 92 thousand 100 million, that is, 8.4 percent less.

The most worrying case, exhibits the report of the private body, is that of grains (including corn), which will register its fourth consecutive year with fall in production: in 2021 it reached an unprecedented level of 40 million 800 thousand tons and since then it has only decreased.

By 2022 the production of this essential grain in the diet of Mexicans fell to 40 million 300 thousand tons; In 2023 he dropped to 40 million 100 thousand tons and by 2024 he collapsed to 34 million 700 thousand tons. That is, in four years the cultivation of corn will have registered a collapse of 21 percent, one fifth.

This has led to Mexico to shoot its corn imports to cover the need of the population. In 2025, purchases abroad are expected for 25 million 200 thousand tons, 47 percent more compared to 27 million 200 thousand tons reported in 2018, the best year for production.

Urge diversification

In 2024, about 90 percent of agri -food exports in Mexico had the United States, said Fernando Cruz, chief economist of the agricultural market consulting group, so it is urgent to try to increase trade with other countries.

This commercial lawsuit is making it clear that depending on a single country, even if it is our main commercial partner, is not ideal. Mexico has access to more than 60 percent of global GDP through a very well established commercial treatise, which we do not use. It does not mean to release the United States market, but you don’t have to put all the eggs in a single basket.

He stressed that Governments fight, but do not produce, they only helpso it is essential that the producers of the region agree to support themselves.

For his part, Anaya stressed that Mexico, the United States and Canada represent 18 percent of the global production of agri -food, so instead of talking about tariffs, it is urgent to implement an agroindustrial policy to enhance the three countries.