Trade Review: Current reports, trends, metrics, stock gates, bonds, forex and goods and analysts’ recommendations
14:39
European declines continue. The Ducks decreases 1.4%, the Potsi sheds 0.7% and the French kac is a similar rate.
The future contracts in the US are also traded in declines.
Company Mobilai Israeli is concentrated after reporting that it will incorporate the technology of Vanessa Semiconductor Autonomous driving projects for a group of car manufacturers. The company’s choice said that Valenas technology came after comprehensive tests that showed significant benefits in performance.
14:00
The Bank of America is alerted to the forex and bond markets for the implementation of the new US cover policy, which is expected to be officially declared on Wednesday: Strengthening in the “Risk-off” mode, if the lids are perceived as a negative to the global economy more than the US.
“However, in the middle -long range, broad measures of American protectionism are expected to harm the US – and support the dollar.” The bank notes that the impact of the covers on the foreign exchange market will derive from the relative performance of the US stock markets against the rest of the world – a trend that is currently in the reversal process.
The recommended strategy according to the bank: a position of euros for the benefit of the British pounds, with the estimate that the EU is more exposed than the United Kingdom to harm the cover policy, and a positive watch in April supports the Lish.
12:14
Investors are prepared for Trump’s announcement of the US’s new trade policy with the trade partnership, and in the meantime the markets seem to be traded on who is resting when the US is in the future, the future contracts are slightly declined. In Europe, the central metrics are also easy. The Ducks sheds 0.9%, the Potsi decreases by 0.5%and the kac traded at a decline of 0.4%.
Bloombard Odier estimates that “in light of the strongest strengthening of the American economy and the positive physical news from Europe, we have adopted a neutral position towards the US dollar against developed market coins. The Euro-dollar rate is expected to move in a limited range, with a $ 1.06 destination. It will only be possible if there is an accelerated acceleration outside the US or if the Fed opens during sharp interest rates. These two scenarios are not part of our main forecast. On the other hand, we expect the Euro’s strengthening against the Lish, against the backdrop of faster interest rates in the UK compared to the Eurozone. ”
“The Japanese wine is also expected to be strengthened during the second quarter. The environment characterized by weak growth and high inflation supports asylum assets like the wine. Our three -month -long forecast is 145 wine for the dollar.”
10:45
Trade on European stock exchanges opened this morning. Potsi weakened 0.2%, Kak drops 0.5%and Duck loses 0.9%. Stox 600 weakened by 0.5%. Wall Street Future Contracts signal the declines in the opening of trading.
Asia trading is locked in a mixed trend. The Niki added 0.3%, which was rescued by 0.1%, the phrase fell 0.6%and the play Sang lost 0.2%.
08:59
This morning in Asia, the main indices are traded in a positive trend. The Niki rises by 0.2%, a Shanghai stock exchange trades around base levels, the hanging sang drops 0.4%and the phosphorus index decreases by 0.7%.
The future contracts in the US are traded in slight declines.
The markets are mainly about one question – what Trump’s lids program will look like. The US President is supposed to reveal on Wednesday “mutual covers” against countries that impose American goods cover or trade policy that the White House sees prison.
“The uncertainty and aura of confidentiality drives the market,” said Jay Woods, the Freedom Capital Market’s main global strategist. “However, we got our repair, so perspective is the key.” Yesterday, the Washington Post reported that the Trump administration was considering imposing a 20% lids on most of the imports to the United States. However, the report – which was based on three sources who are familiar with the issue – noted that a final decision has not yet been made.
The White House on his part are trying to calm and reduce the importance of Wall Street about customs. “The president wants to make sure that all Americans will benefit, especially the middle class – this is the focus of these lids,” the White House spokeswoman, Caroline Levitt, said to journalists on Tuesday. “But as I said again and again, just as it was during his first term, Wall Street would be fine.”
Last night, Wall Street after a volatile day, trading was locked in a positive trend. NASDAC rose 0.9%, Dow Jones unchanged and S&P 500 increased 0.2%.
A stock Tesla She finally experienced a positive day and jumped about 4%. Against the backdrop of the trend, investors are expecting good news today, with the electric car maker expected to publish the production and dedication results for the first quarter. The increase in stock came despite other weak sales data in Europe. In March, Tesla sold 3,157 vehicles in France, a 37% drop compared to the previous year. In the first quarter, Tesla sold less than 7,000 vehicles in the country – a 41% decrease compared to the same period last year.
The fear of decline in sales is increasing, especially in light of the expansion of demonstrations against Tesla and CEO Ayalon Musk. Musk’s new role as head of the government efficiency department (Doge) established by President Trump has aroused controversy. In addition, Tesla sales reports in Europe. Tesla shares have dropped by 29% since the beginning of the year.
In the second quarter of 2025, the global bond market will experience an increase in volatility, mainly due to the increasing uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s tariff policy. Thus, the S&P rankings reports that “the volatility reached the bond market, with the corporate bonds expanding in mid -February.”
At the same time, government bond returns moved in different directions: in the US they dropped about 20 base points due to slowdown fears, while in Europe they rose about 30 points due to fiscal expansion plans. Nevertheless, the risk intervals “remain close to multi-year lows,” the report said.
In the American debt market, last Wednesday, the American government bond market traded in immigration, and the return on ten years of bonds has dropped by 9 base points, to a level of 4.15%, its lowest level since March 11. The two-year government entertainment yield fell 3.87%base. This morning, the bond returns are lightly rising.
The oil market also sees the implications of concern in markets, with price increases of about 4% in the last month. This morning, the US oil price traded around $ 71 a barrel, and Brent oil climbs about $ 74 a barrel.
Wall Street optimism remains strong, with the dear metal recorded another new record last night. The future contracts on gold set their 19th-day-to-year peak, leapt over $ 3,170 to Otia, before mimic some of the profits for the lock. Since the beginning of the year, the gold price has risen by 19%, and in the last ten months has climbed more than 40%.
In the macro, March’s employment report is expected to be published on Friday in the US, and investors are waiting for additional hints of the effects on the Fed’s interest rate outline. The forecast was unchanged compared to a level of 7.7 million, which was originally reported in January. The number of deceases fell in February to 3.2 million compared to 3.3 million in the previous month. The number of dismissals increased to 1.8 million, compared with 1.7 million in the previous month.
Later in the day (Wednesday), another indicator of the US employment market is expected to be published, with ADP employment index being published at 3:15 pm.
As mentioned, the world is absorbed for the “release day” in the US that takes place on Wednesday, where the administration will announce the volume of the tariffs that will be imposed on most countries. Will end. ”
Klein says that despite the assault rhetoric, “there is no certainty that the steps will actually be realized – and the response from the main trade partnership, most notably the EU, may include counter -tariffs that will hurt directly in multi -national American companies.
After a negative first quarter at Wall Street, Matan Sheetrit, the chief economist of the Phoenix Group explains what can be learned from the past about the continuation of the road?
“Since 1980, there have been 15 cases where the first quarter of the year ended in a negative return on the S&P 500 index.
“In the second quarter, the average return was about 2.5%, with 9 of the 15 cases a positive return-that is, a 60% probability of an increase in the upcoming quarter.
“In addition, because this is the first year of the priest’s president, we also examined the performance patterns in the four -year presidential cycle.
“Bottom line, despite the disappointing opening of 2025, and if history is repeated – there is definitely room for careful optimism down the road.”