“Switzerland-Italy is not an easy match. However, Italy is favored at 38% against 33% for the Red Cross, while at 29% the match will end in a draw. Italy is slightly favoured, either due to tradition or due to the fact that we are reigning European champions, at 55% against 45% for the Swiss. However, there could be the possibility of extra time and this too is at 29%”. These are the words of Gianluca Boserman, a Sisal expert, interviewed by Adnkronos in Rome in view of the match between Switzerland and Italy which on Saturday evening in Berlin, at 6pm, will open the “hottest” phase of the European championship, the direct elimination matches. (VIDEO)
Thanks also to the super saves of Gianluigi Donnarumma, Italy has advanced to the next round. With the start of the round of 16, the goal now for the Azzurri is not to concede a goal: “At 36%, Italy could close the door and change gear,” hopes Boserman. In the meantime, the question is whether the first knockout match could unlock some players: “Both Retegui and Scammacca, according to Sisal experts, have a 23% chance of getting on the scoresheet. Obviously Federico Chiesa, who can be the man not only to score, but also to facilitate a goal for his teammates, could be the protagonist with a goal or assist at 34%,” analyzes the expert.
The scoreboard on paper therefore seems favorable for Spalletti’s team, but: “We could find ourselves in a possible quarter-final against the big favorites England who have an 18% chance of winning their first European title – predicts the expert Sisal – On the other hand, Germany, France and Spain are all aligned at 15% behind the Three Lions national team, while Portugal at 12% would represent the big surprise. Also because, let’s remember, there is always a gentleman called Cristiano Ronaldo, who then, when it comes to inside-outside situations, is always complicated to eliminate.”
Already in this first part of Euro 2024, great surprises and disappointments can be identified: “From England, France and Italy itself we expected a little more in terms of results – admits Boserman – In terms of results, first place must certainly be underlined of Austria in the group with France and Holland due to the play expressed by Rangnick’s team at 65% will pass the round against Vincenzo Montella’s Turkey and obviously Kvaratskhelia’s Georgia, in their first participation in a European Championship, which has passed and finds itself ahead the big obstacle represented by Spain: the Red Furies at 13% could reach the quarterfinals. If we instead look at the individual protagonists – he analyzes – we stay in the Georgian home because Mikautadze is currently the top scorer of the tournament with three goals scored. He has the same percentages, 9%, as Mbappé and Kane and according to Sisal experts, he has the opportunity to become the king of the strikers of Euro 2024. However, we believe that we are entering the inside-out phase with Mbappé, Kane and the other greats champions will change pace to win the title”, he concludes.
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