Will Iran respond to Israel’s attack? The analyst’s point of view

Iran’s response to Israel’s recent retaliation will be ‘extremely complex’also due to the pressure from governments pushing for an end to this phase of attacks and counter-attacks between Tehran and Tel Aviv, but in any case it will be “considered and never the result of haste”. This was stated in an interview with Adnkronos by Afifeh Abedi, foreign policy researcher at the Center for Strategic Research (CSR) in Tehran, one of the main think tanks of the Islamic Republic, according to which Iran is evaluating the “new geopolitical conditions”. as many Middle Eastern and Western countries “condemned the attacks and called for an international effort to break the cycle” of reprisals.

As demonstrated by the ‘Vera Promessa’ and ‘Vera Promessa 2’ operations, Iran has made it clear that it will “respond proportionately to any attack”Abedi pressed, also hinting at the possibility that this time the ayatollahs will heed the calls for moderation. Also seeing that “Iran responded adequately to these attacks” last Saturday and that the inhabitants of the Islamic Republic continue to “live normally”.

The Tehran government believes, however, that “if it does not respond to Israel’s aggressive actions that have violated its territorial integrity and sovereignty, it will again have to face the impudence of the Zionist regime”, underlines the analyst, who recalls how after the killing of Hamas political leader in Tehran, Ismail Haniyeh, Iran did not react for over two months, continuing to call for an end to the war in Gaza and condemnation for “Israel’s terrorist operations in Tehran” through channels legal and diplomatic.

“Despite Western promises of a ceasefire, the war has spread to Lebanon, causing the regime’s terrorist attacks against Hezbollah, the martyrdom of Hassan Nasrallah and the Iranian general Abbas Nilforoushan”, highlights the analyst, according to whom “the main problem” for Tehran is that the United States “prepares and supplies weapons and plans for attacks by the Zionist regime, despite all declarations of non-interference in Israel’s aggression against Iran and emphasis on diplomatic efforts to end to the conflict”.

“From Iran’s perspective, even if it decides to exercise restraint at the request of its neighbors and regional and extra-regional partners, there is no guarantee that Israel’s aggressive actions will be prevented or that Israel’s terrorist actions will be punished. this regime”, he concludes.