Trump’s re-election strengthens the right in the world

Donald Trump’s re-election to the presidency of the United States represents a new milestone for the global right. By beating the Democratic Party candidate and current vice president, Kamala Harris, in the presidential contest on the 5th, the Republican pushes conservative agendas around the world and exposes society’s exhaustion with the current progressive institutional structures in force in the West. With his inauguration scheduled for January 20th, Trump promises to bring back to the discussion topics that speak directly to the population, who feel increasingly dissatisfied with current policies.

The Republican’s overwhelming victory signals a growing adherence to right-wing agendas around the world, each adapted to the particularities of each country. Analysts interviewed by the report point out that, in addition to promoting the rise of probable new conservative movements, Trump’s return strengthens the right-wing governments that are already in power and reflects the average voter’s weariness with current politics, especially in the treatment of issues that they involve security, immigration and traditional values.

For Europe, where the debate over immigration and security is intense, Trump’s re-election represents a significant boost for parties on the more nationalist right. Subtitles such as Vox, in Spain, and Chega, in Portugal, as well as Marine Le Pen’s National Regrouping (RN), in France, should benefit from the Republican’s victory in the USA, since like them, Trump defends greater border control and tightening of immigration issues. In Germany, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is already riding the wave of dissatisfaction with the country’s current center-left leadership, currently immersed in a strong crisis, and should use the Republican’s victory as an example that more Conservatives have strong popular appeal.

The influence of Trump’s victory could reach important general elections that will be held in several countries in the year 2025. Canada, Chile and Germany itself, where center-left and left-wing parties are currently in power and face low popularity rates, will hold decisive elections next year. According to polls, conservatives and the center-right are leading the dispute for government in these countries, and Trump’s coming to power in the USA serves to further strengthen the position of parties within this political spectrum, especially by attracting voters dissatisfied with the traditional policies.

In an interview with People’s GazetteProfessor of Political Science at Ibmec in Brasília, Naue Bernardo, observes that the Republican victory in the USA reflects the population’s demand for a calmer life free from excessive interference.

“This event expressly demonstrates yet another symptom of the average voter’s general fatigue with the current state of affairs,” said Bernardo. “The average voter does not want to be ‘bothered’ by political issues, this person wants to be able to live their life peacefully and without major problems,” he added.

Bernardo points out that Trump’s success in the USA may encourage the discussion of stricter policies aimed at controlling immigration and issues such as national security in other countries, but emphasizes that the right wing of each nation must adapt its agendas according to local problems.

“In many countries, issues such as immigration do not make sense; in others, customs guidelines may not catch on. Reading the current scenario is what makes the right strong, which captures the population’s sentiment and offers a platform for those who are skeptical in the ability of the currently existing system to solve problems”, he said.

Denilde Holzhacker, professor of International Relations at ESPM, assesses that Trump’s victory has the potential to strengthen both already established right-wing governments, such as in Italy, Argentina and Hungary, and emerging conservative groups seeking rise in other regions.

In an interview with People’s GazetteHolzhacker recalled that, in addition to the issue of immigration, already central to the right, especially in Europe, Trump’s victory could also intensify economic debates and the defense of deregulation, security and even protectionism policies, which are gaining strength as solutions to benefit directly to the world population.

“This perception is clear in Germany, but it becomes even more evident in Latin American countries”, says Holzhacker

In Brazil, the 2026 election is already beginning to be affected by the possible return of the right to power. Brazilian conservatives see Trump’s victory as hope that Jair Bolsonaro can also return to the country’s presidency. Although Bolsonaro is ineligible, supporters of the former president see reversing this condition as a possible goal and, to this end, defend measures such as amnesty for political prisoners on January 8, 2023 and discussions about a possible political rehabilitation of Bolsonaro.

“Voices of Bolsonarism believe that, just like Trump, Bolsonaro could return to the presidency again,” said Rodrigo Prando, political scientist at Universidade Presbiteriana Mackenzie, in an interview with People’s Gazette.

According to the Reutersthe risk intelligence company Verisk Maplecroft analyzed that Trump’s victory could bring more resources to the mobilization and communication efforts of the Brazilian right.

“Trumpism and Bolsonarism are closely linked. If Jair Bolsonaro plays his cards correctly, his inner circle can regain centrality in the changing conservative scenario in Brazil,” the company said in a note.

According to Holzhacker, Bolsonaro and his allies are already exploring the connection with Trump, seeking to convey that the Republican wave that swept the United States will also be reflected in the Brazilian scenario. However, she remembers that in the country “there are still some limitations”.

“Bolsonaro is still ineligible, so his movement is based on creating a favorable environment to push for the overturn of ineligibility and deal with internal disagreements within the right itself,” said Holzhacker.

The professor explains that the Brazilian electorate has shown an inclination to the right, especially after this year’s municipal elections, with great receptivity to economic discourse, deregulation and individual entrepreneurship, “which are strong right-wing flags”. She highlights that the 2026 clash should occur around the role of the State in the economy and social regulation.

Holzhacker adds that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s government will face similar challenges to those of Democrat Joe Biden’s government, which needs to demonstrate concrete results for the population. For her, the 2026 election will bring a clash between political projects, but it will also depend on how the right-wing leadership is defined and the involvement of Bolsonaro or his family in the election.