How Trump over the heads of Europe closes “peace” with Putin

What does Trump’s plan look like for Ukraine?

Trump has already made it clear in the election campaign that he wants to create peace in Ukraine quickly (“in one day”) and that this peace will be associated with loss of territory for Ukraine. His defense minister Pete Hegseth has now made this even clearer to the NATO allies in Brussels: there will be no restoration of Ukraine within the borders of 2014 – i.e. before the annexation of the Crimea peninsula. A few days ago, Trump even thought loudly that the Ukraine could one day be “Russian”.

What role does Europe play in this plan?

The US defense minister has unequivocally determined Trump’s line. There will be no American troops for securing a peace agreement or a ceasefire line in Ukraine. The Europeans would have to do that, but not as part of an official NATO mission. As a result, a Russian attack on this peacekeeper in the sense of NATO assistance must be replied by all NATO partners, including the USA. But Hegseth clearly excluded and even Article 5 of the NATO contracts, which provides for this, mentions that the United States would definitely not intervene in a Russian attack.

How does Russia react?

Delighted. All the media -related media cheer that the phone call was a victory of Putin and that the United States “finally dropped Ukraine”. The fact that Trump has ignored the Europeans – who learned from the telephone call from social media – is commented maliciously: “Trump is interested Not at all for the opinion of Kyiv and Brussels, “it says. At the same time, this is seen as a positive normalization of relationships between the nuclear powers – one finally speaks back at eye level, and as is well known, Putin wanted to go there. This was also economically shown: The Russian stock market increased that the oil price fell into the world market in anticipation of Russia.

And what does Kyiv say?

There you are completely sobered. Trump has completely broken with the previous US policy, whose guideline always “nI was called about Ukraine without the Ukraine ” – no conversations without Kiev’s participation. President Wolodimir Selenskij was trying to make optimism (” Nobody wants to peace more than Ukraine, he wrote down X), however, demanded a participation in the talks. Alone: ​​He won’t decide that, and he does not have any means of pressure – Trump, on the other hand: he can hire the support for Kiev.

How does Europe react to Trump’s plans?

For the time being, there is shock rigid and official reactions are limited to holding on to the previous line. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte now only speaks of a “strong deal that ensures a stable result”. It must be clear that the West has prevailed and “Putin will never try something like that”. But behind the scenes, many European diplomats speak of a dramatic change of course from the United States that will have fatal consequences. Trump gave Putin in crucial points before the start of peace talks, exactly what has been deliberately not done so far. Putin will only encourage the announcement without negotiating Ukraine and accepting its waiver from the start.

What do Europeans want in EU and NATO?

In both institutions, the member countries have fundamentally committed themselves to the fact that Ukraine should again get their complete sovereignty in the boundaries specified in 1992 and that one wants to provide military and political support until this goal is achieved and anchored in a peace treaty. Negotiations on this must be taken with the participation of Ukraine. However, there are individual EU and NATO member countries, such as Hungary, the Netherlands, or Slovakia, openly skeptical about this position.

Who provides the most support for Ukraine?

The United States has been militarily so far, but one also calculates humanitarian and economic aid, the EU countries have already done more. The Europeans have also massively strengthened their help militarily. The million in artillery grenades required by Ukraine will actually be able to deliver in 2025 after the global purchase of these grenades, but also production in Europe, were boosted. Tanks, rocket systems with ranges over 100 kilometers, fighter jets and air defense were also supplied by Great Britain and France.

Germany has delivered tanks and artillery, but refuses to deliver the far -reaching rocket systems. But both the Ukrainian President Selenskij and the leadership of EU and NATO have made it clear that the war cannot be continued without US support.

Does Trump’s advance have a prospect of success?

Observers are very skeptical that Trump will bring about a long -term solution. The Russian Kremlin connoisseur Tatjana is an argument, Trump only wanted a break of fire and a quick understanding that pushes the entire Ukraine question offside; Putin, on the other hand, still wants a Russified demilitarized Ukraine. “Putin is fully prepared that these conversations will fail, “she writes. From the KREML’s point of view, there is nothing that the West could do to undo Russia’s regional profits and to prevent the collapse of Ukraine in the long run. To do this does not have to pay Trump, but Ukraine – and also Europe.