Trump’s turn against Zelenski: How much is Ukraine weakens against Russia?

“Trump is taking a radical turn in the position of the United States, which until now was Pro-Ukraine, European Pro-Union, pro-oan and marked a political distance with Vladimir Putin. What he is doing is a change of almost 180 degrees when looking for an approach with Putin“, Said Ramiro Escobar, an international analyst, consulted by Commerce. “But it is not only a change in the bilateral relationship, but an attempt to configure a new world order, in which Russia and the United States agree to maintain their areas of influence, similar to the cold war“.

Europe and the destination of Ukraine

The European Union He responded firmly, defending Zelenski’s democratic legitimacy. “Ukraine is a democracy, the Russia of Putin no,” said a spokesman for the European Commission, emphasizing that any solution to the conflict must include Ukraine and the EU.

Today’s meeting in Kiev between Zelenski and Trump’s envoy, Keith Kelloghe concluded without joint statements, reflecting the tension between the two countries after the words of the US president.

Trump’s position has generated uncertainty about the future of the conflict. The perception that the United States could adopt a more neutral or even favorable position to Russia has lit alarms in Europe.

“This new global order seems not only to the United States and Russia, but also China as a third key actor. Although China is aligned with Russia, it maintains its autonomy focused on geoeconomy, prioritizing businesses without getting involved in war conflicts”The analyst said. “This scenario stabilizes the global situation, but it can also generate commercial tensions between the United States and China.”

Initially, Ukraine was not considered in the conversations, although its inclusion was then announced. However, the scenario that is glimpsed is that of an agreement led by the two powers.

This leaves Ukraine in a disadvantageous position, without maneuvering margin. In addition, the European Union is somewhat marginalized in the process, although it is rearranging cautiously.

As for the destination of Ukraine, Escobar believes that “Most likely, an end of the war will be achieved soon, but under unfavorable terms for Ukraine. Zelenski will be pressed to accept the final loss of Crimea and a part of Donbás, the area in conflict with Russia ”.

Putin empowered

The turn in American politics directly benefits Moscow. The Kremlin celebrated convergence with the Trump administration and highlighted his intention to resume dialogue with Washington “in all the parameters” of the conflict.

Trump’s position, seen as an implicit recognition of Russia’s negotiating power, strengthens the position of Vladimir Putin in the peace conversations and in the global geopolitical scene. In Moscow, it is perceived that Washington’s new approach could lead to a fire in favorable terms to Kremlin, without the security guarantees required by kyiv.

“Putin is strengthened because he now has a Trump interlocutor who shares a similar vision of power: vertical, personalist and authoritarian. This ideological affinity is also shared by European leaders such as Giorgia Meloni and Viktor Orbán, which fragments Europe’s response against Russia”The analyst warned.

Ultimately, it seems that Russia and the United States, as nuclear powers, seek to reorganize the global geopolitical board. “Although the end of the war would be a relief for those who suffer from the conflict, this scenario implies risks to the international order, since the ‘peace of the strongest”, “Escobar reflects.

Panorama still uncertain

Trump’s statement has caused a wave of international reactions. The European Union reaffirmed its support for Ukraine, while several European leaders, including the president of the Spanish Government, Pedro Sánchezand the president of the European Commission, Ursula von der LeyenThey announced visits to kyiv in the next few days to show their solidarity.

France and the United Kingdom, meanwhile, have considered the creation of a European peace force, in anticipation of a possible withdrawal from US support. This force, of a deterrent, would focus on protecting the air and maritime security of Ukraine.

“Europe is trying to recover its influence on the conflict, especially with Macron’s visit to Washington. However, it faces an internal challenge due to the presence of pro-trump leaders within its bosom. This fragmentation hinders a unified response of the European Union to Russia”The analyst said.

Trump’s turn has left Ukraine in an uncertain diplomatic position. kyiv’s dependence on the United States military support and the possibility of a more conciliatory approach with Russia generate concern in Europe.

Zelenski’s weakening on the international stage and Putin’s empowerment emerge a complex panorama for the future of the conflict. The visit of European leaders to kyiv and the next diplomatic meetings in Washington will be decisive to define the course of war.