Ukraine-Russia, Putin cannot make promises to Trump: the analysis

Interviewed by the TV Zvedza, Grigory Kasarin, a former diplomat that chairs the Foreign Commission of the Federation Council and one of the two personalities who will guide the Russian delegation to Riad, said: “We hope to reach at least some progress”.

And, also speaking on behalf of the other negotiator, the director of the manager of the FSB Sergey Beseda, he anticipated that At the interviews they will go “with a constructive and combative spirit”, “the goal is to resolve at least one issue”. Which did not specify it, but in recent days the councilor for the foreign policy of the Kremlin, Yuri Ushakhov, had spoken of the fire in the Black Sea, as underlined also in the note released by the White House after the phone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, in which, however, the stop was talked about to the attacks against energy infrastructures, which remained dead letter.

Some analysts in Moscow undergo the spirit “combative” with Adnkronos, according to which “no significant differences emerge on the Russian maximalist position expressed so far at the highest level on the Ukrainian dossier”.

The circle close to the Kremlin leader “is actually convinced that he has the knife on the side of the handle and this for two reasons: The situation on the field and the customs clearance of Trump by“.

As for the first point, however, the same analysts warn, on the ground “things are not going as extraordinarily as well as the Russians would like to make believe, even if they are certainly better than the Ukrainians”.

As for the second point, The Russian president “cannot afford to promise to Trump something that cannot maintainunder penalty of the risk of making the end of Volodymyr Zelensky in the oval study and this explains why the truce instead of being an elephant has become a Mickey Mouse “, as shown by the attacks of these days.

The objectives of Russia

The Russians want everything, the territories, the no at the entrance of Ukraine in NATO, a puppet state, the point is understand to what extent the Americans will meet them in order to keep them at the negotiation table“This is the great dilemma on which Trump will have to find a solution”.

Because, as is underlined, the American president says he believes that Putin wants peace, which Kiev and the European allies do not believe, while the same leader of the Kremlin says they want peace but then in fact refuses it when it is offered.

“Putin entered Ukraine thinking that it would be an easy and fast operation. Three years later, it controls 20% of Ukraine, but at a terrible, terrible cost. In essence, the Russians are losing. The fact is that Ukrainians are losing faster“, he comments with the CNN Mark Galeotti, a British historian great expert in Russia.

For Putin and its circle, the thrust of Trump for a ceased the fire is simply an opportunity to obtain quick victories while maintaining the long -term goals, including that of “eliminating the causes of the conflict”, read via Zelensky and NO to NATO.

According to observers in Moscow, there is another key point of the Riad interviews and it is the importance that Russian and American both give to the relaunch of bilateral relationships, a theme for now prevalent on the rest.

The premise of everything, however, must be one: to understand what Putin wants from interviews with the United States, it is essential to remember that the two sides are talking about because It was Washington who made a U -reverse of his policy towards Russia And not because something changed in Moscow.