As a reminder: It was Trump who was a few years earlier during his first term in 2018 Iran-nuclear agreement negotiated in Vienna. terminated. With the deal, in addition to the West, China and Russia had also agreed, Iran committed himself to restriction in his nuclear armament. On the other hand, it allowed the International atomic energy authority IAEAto monitor them. In return, the sanctions against the Islamic Republic, which was heavily battered at the time, were relaxed.
From a western point of view, the agreement had weaknesses, and diplomats and experts were of the opinion. The big criticism was, for example, that they are also threatening Iranian rocket program not touched. And yet the contract was celebrated as a diplomatic huge success.
The businessman Trump wanted to get more out, make a better deal with the oil -rich state. At that time he accused Iran of being the “leading terrorist supporter in the Middle East” and still working secretly on the development of atomic bombs.
The United States is the most important ally of Israel that Iran wants to destroy. Tehran fought Washington and especially Jerusalem over his terrorist militias in Middle East-such as the Hamas in the Gaza Strip and the Hezbollah in Lebanonbut also that Hathi im jemen – and speaks of a self -proclaimed “Axis of resistance”.
The concern about the atomic bomb
Almost all allies and probably also some of his advisors advised Trump in 2018 to remain in the agreement. But he took the risk. Since then, the international community has not known how close Iran is to complete a nuclear bomb. However, it is increasingly being enriched and not far away and not far away, fears.
Today numerous sanctions against Iran provide one severe economic crisisThe Rial currency regularly reaches new record depths. Some of the various punitive measures against the regime were given by the west because of the suppression of the “Woman, life, freedom” mass protests 2022 and the strict moral police imposed.
In addition, Iran is currently difficult because the “axis of resistance” in question is massively crumbling. U. a. Due to the Gaza War, the armed “long arms” of Tehran are weakened anyway. And Iran itself through Israeli attacks. As a significant turning point, the Fall by the Syrian ruler Bashar al-Assad Rated, the only state actor in the Israel and American alliance, alongside Iran. A huge part of Iranian support for the Hisbollah ran over Syria.
The real power in Tehran has been with Ali Khamenei, the religious and political head, with the same man since 1989. The Iranian President gave out of the currently difficult situation Massud Peseschkian but at least a little more conciliatory than its predecessor Ebrahim raisiwho died in 2024 in a helicopter crash. For a while it looked as if the nuclear agreement could possibly be revived.
General Soleimani’s death
This seems to be far away from that. Already in 2020 there were great fears that a more direct war could break out between the USA and Iran, a kind of new Gulf War after the United States the important Iranian general Kassem soleimani killed in Iraq with a fight drone. Iran then shot the US message in Baghdad in Iraq. And Trump, according to reports, is actually said to have asked for options for a military strike at Iranian nuclear facilities, from which they may have advised him urgently.
As the last time, Trump also makes Iran a focus on foreign policy during this term. Initially, it still seemed as if he was careful to the enemy – albeit already accompanied by threats, knowing that Iran is not prepared for a “great war”.
Now that Iran rejected direct discussions with the United States about negotiations on the nuclear program, he seems to have been torn. Recently, the USA also bombed the Huthi goals in Yemen. What Trump’s familiar Haudrauf policy will lead to here remains to be seen.