Today’s Supermedia is also very ‘robust’, because it is based on a very substantial number of surveys. It is therefore difficult to reduce the trends that emerge, starting with the decline (-0.7%) of FdI which falls again below 30% and the growth (+0.8%) of M5s. It is essentially these two data that ‘drive’ the aggregate data relating to the coalitions, which sees a significant rapprochement between the center-right (-1.0%) and the broad field (+0.8%), currently separated by only 2.2 points. As for the ‘special’ Supermedia on the constitutional referendum, the Yes party is still ahead with 56.7% (+0.6 in a month).
This, in detail, is the Supermedia Liste:
- FDI 29,7 (-0,7)
- PD 22,0 (+0,1)
- M5S 12.8 (+0.8)
- Forza Italia 8.7 (-0.2)
- Lega 8,3 (=)
- Greens/Left 6.6 (+0.1)
- Share 3.2 (-0.2)
- Italia Viva 2.5 (-0.3)
- +Europa 1,8 (+0,3)
- We Moderates 1.0 (-0.1)
- * not detected by Tecnè
This is the Supermedia Coalitions 2022:
- Centre-right 47.8 (-1.0)
- Centre-left 30.3 (+0.4)
- M5S 12.8 (+0.8)
- Third Pole 5.7 (-0.5)
- Others 3.4 (+0.3)
This is the Supermedia constitutional referendum:
- Yes 56.7 (+0.6)
- No 43,3 (-0,6)
- (Estimated turnout: 62%)
NB: the variations in brackets indicate the deviation compared to the Superaverage of two weeks ago (27 November 2025) and, for the constitutional referendum, one month ago (13 November 2025).
NOTE: The Supermedia Youtrend/Agi it is a weighted average of national polls on voting intentions. Today’s weighting, which includes surveys carried out from November 27th to December 10th, was carried out on December 11th based on the sample size, the date of completion and the data collection method.
The surveys considered were carried out by the institutes Demopolis (publication date: 4 December), EMG (28 November and 4 December), Eumetra (27 November and 4 December), Ipsos (30 November), Ixè (27 November), Noto (29 November and 2 December), SWG (1 and 8 December), Tecnè (28 November and 5 December) and Youtrend (10 December). For the constitutional referendum: EMG (publication date: 28 November and 4 December), Eumetra (4 December), Ipsos (2 December), Ixè (27 November), Only Numbers (11 November), and Youtrend (10 December).