Trump in an unusual reference to the protests in Iran: if the regime continues to shoot at you

Against the background of the increasing protests in Iran, US President Donald Trump sent a threatening and dramatic message this morning (Friday) to the Iranian regime: “If they continue to violently kill peaceful protesters, we will come to their rescue. We are ready for action.” According to the latest estimates, so far there have been about 7 deaths in the protests, in addition to dozens of injured and dozens of arrests.

This is the president’s first reference to the conflicts in Iran. In an unusual tweet on the TRUTH network, he threatened Tehran: “If Iran continues to violently kill peaceful protesters, as is their custom, the US will come to their aid. We are loaded and ready to go.”

Ali Larijani, the advisor of Supreme Leader Khamenei responded in his own tweet and wrote: “American interference in Iran’s internal affairs will lead to chaos.”

• The riots are still not of the magnitude and intensity of the previous protest waves, such as in the riots that broke out following the death of the young woman Amini in 2022 – events that received the nickname “the hijab riots”, but this is only the fifth day of the protest – and the situation in Iran is only escalating.
• The riots have already spread to 27 centers and are also taking place in broad daylight: the state and opposition media in the country are reporting dead protesters in Lordjastan, Kuhadasht and Isfahan. Clashes were also reported in the city of Qom and firing by the Iranian security forces at demonstrators in Nahwand, in the Madan district.
• The Iranian regime is trying to blame Israel for the protests and deflect the fire: according to the line adopted by the regime, it is supposedly a project operated by Israel and the US, and blocked by the public itself. The regime’s supporters set themselves the goal of treating the demonstrations as a timed move that takes advantage of economic distress to ignite riots and lead to security escalation.

The map of interests

• The official state of Israel does not express itself regarding the riots in Iran – but the question is what happens when the Ayatollahs rule is with their backs against the wall.
• The fall of the regime in Tehran is in the interest of many countries in the region. At this stage, the regime is not in existential danger, but these are moves that are difficult to predict in advance and the whole of the Middle East and the Gulf countries are following, wondering how it will react to chaos and riots.
• If the Ayatollah regime tries to create a “spin” in the form of an attack or regional escalation – the security establishment is prepared to respond and, like it, the Gulf countries who see Iran as a generator of regional terrorism and chaos.