Sulla electoral law the opposition is in watchful waiting. The signs speak of an “acceleration” of the majority on proportional reform even if they are still there open knots. Two above all: the coalition price list similar to what was in force for the regional elections until a few years ago, which allows a group of candidates to be elected in direct connection with the coalition. And the majority prize to be assigned.
The first mechanism, warn centre-left sources already working on the dossier, would clash with the constitutional norm which provides that the Senate is elected on a regional basis. And, in any case, we will have to decide whether the coalition price list it will be the prerogative of the winning coalition or if it will also be extended to the other coalitions. The second theme instead concerns the theshold which cannot be less than 40 percentgiven the ruling of Constitutional Court which declared illegitimate the norm, contained in the Italicum, which triggered the majority prize with 40 percent of the votes obtained, a threshold which according to the Court would have altered the principle of equality and representativeness of the vote.
The mobile majority prize and the criticisms
On the table majority at the moment, there also seems to be the idea of “mobile” majority bonus that is, it can vary based on the margin achieved over the opponent: 55% for those who obtain more than 40-42 percent of the votes; or 60 percent to those who obtain more than 45 percent of the votes. A “scandal” for Riccardo Magi: “This is a real one minority prize which forcibly transforms a minority into a majority and would allow the right to guarantee of victory in the next elections”, underlines the secretary of More Europe. The signals collected by parliamentary sources during the last stages of the budget law they make one think that the intention is to start from Chamber of Deputies.
The reform of the voting system: timing and confirmations
That the majority intend to move forward quickly on reform of the voting system it also seems to confirm it Alberto Balbonisenator of Brothers of Italy and president of Constitutional Affairs Commission of Palazzo Madama. The new law must be approved “by 2026to avoid the risk of a draw that would mean ungovernability“, says Balboni in an interview. But to suggest moving quickly, explains a source from the oppositionsit is also the Code of good conduct drawn up by Council of Europea non-binding indication that the electoral law less than a year before the date of the vote.
The proposed voting system and thresholds
As for the voting systemthe majority is currently reasoning on that of Regional electionswith a modest majority prize e proportional distribution of seats. “With a system like that there would be no need for one high barrier“, reasons Balboni, “even a maximum of 2 or 3% could be enough, given that in any case the majority would already receive a bonus”. As for the theshold to trigger the prize, we think about a scissors of 40-42 percentjust enough to be safe from new findings of the Court. In the background remains the theme ofindication of the prime minister on the ballot paper.
De facto premiership and institutional structure
The combined provisions of majority prize with the 40 percent of the votes el’indication of the prime minister would change, for Magi, “theinstitutional structure of our country in a de facto premieredthrough one electoral law and not with one constitutional reform“.
Opposition strategies and future confrontation
The oppositionsAt the moment, I’m waiting for the majority make your proposal: “We, at the moment, are not moving also because any move could serve to take the chestnuts out of the fire at Melons and comrades”, is the reasoning of a dem source. In any case, when the majority has found the square, it will be the moment of confrontation with the opposition. In the Pd there are those who wouldn’t disdain a series of consultations like those who Giorgia Meloni He did so premiered. Another hypothesis, it is explained in dem circles, is that a sort of “advice of the wise” with representatives designated by each party.