The new crisis in Europe following the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz

So what does this mean for those planning the upcoming summer vacation? Experts estimate that short flights, especially within the borders of Europe, are at a lower risk of cancellations. In the event of a lack of fuel at the destination, for example, the planes can take off in advance with a larger amount of fuel than the departure destination and thus avoid the need for additional fueling. In addition, flights to the American continent do not appear to be problematic at this stage. On the other hand, the situation in Asia is much more complex. The region imports much of its fuel from the Persian Gulf. While China is relatively protected thanks to large reserves, other countries, such as Vietnam, have already had to start using their emergency reserves.

In view of the growing uncertainty, the overwhelming recommendation for taxis is to purchase flight tickets at flexible rates that can be canceled and refunded. The Italian report states that it is also recommended to prefer direct flights as much as possible; In the case of intermediate stops, it is advisable to choose routes with a minimum of parking, to reduce the risk of a chain reaction of cancellations and delays due to a local lack of fuel at the transit stations.

In terms of vacation timing, it seems that the safest months to fly are June and July. If there is indeed a severe and continuous shortage of jet fuel due to the blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, the estimates are that a flight rationing regime will only come into effect in the second half of August. Any planning of a vacation from the end of August into the month of September is currently defined as entering “unknown territory”. Until the situation becomes clear, the recommendation for passengers is to download the apps of the relevant airlines, follow the official social networks, and stay updated in real time.