It was a cascade effectIn just 36 hours, the vice president of the United States, Kamala Harris has obtained the verbal support of more than 2,200 delegates of the 3,949 who must vote for the person who will be the next Democratic Party candidate for the presidency of the united states according to the calculation made by the Associated Press news agency. That means that Harris already has 55% of the delegates, which means that She is, technically, the candidate Only an illness or an accident will prevent him from achieving that position.
Regarding the commitment of the delegates of vote for Harris When they have to do it – which could be next week via telematics, to avoid legal problems due to the change of candidates in some states – there is no doubt.
Meanwhile, a first survey by the Morning Consult company has reduced Trump’s lead points of the six that led Biden to just two against Harris. The poll, conducted on Sunday afternoon and Monday morning, reveals that 65% of Democrats approve of the president’s replacement by his number two in the candidacy.
In that sense, the jump of the Convention (the call convention bump) does not seem to have happened for Trump, despite the fact that he closed his on Friday, while the drama over Biden’s decision not to continue campaigning seems to have pushed the vice president up. In any case, the effects of the Conventions are becoming smaller – they were barely noticeable in 2020 – and what Harris has to do now is prove that she is a better candidate than Biden in the 106 days until the elections.
But more notable than the possible reduction of the Trump’s advantage It is the rapid convergence of the Democrats, a party always divided into factions, around Harris. It is a process reminiscent of what happened with Joe Biden in the week of February 29 to March 6, 2020, when half of the contenders for the nomination in that party withdrew from the primaries and gave their support to the current president.
On that occasion, it was an exercise in strict political calculation: with the uncertainty created by the ghost of Covid-19which was then nothing more than a strange disease that was rapidly approaching the United States, major Democratic donors convinced the candidates that, in order to beat Donald Trump with a small but committed base, unity was necessary.
It’s still early to draw conclusions this time, but the flood of money Harris has received seems to have played a key role in convincing even the former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi who is, like Harris, from San Francisco, and who has a very bad relationship with the future candidate, to support her. And, as in 2020, practicality.
Trump remains ahead, The undecided are only 5% of those who say they are going to vote and what the Democrats have to do is mobilize the people who are going to stay home. That means, First of all, unity.
Harris, 59, is the youngest person to compete for the White House since Obama He was re-elected in 2012 and must focus on mobilizing the youth and minority vote to beat Donald Trump, who remains the favorite.
But the Democrats’ unity around Harris has not been just a exercise in pragmatism It was also a consequence of the vice president’s visit to the headquarters of what was until now Biden’s campaign and is now hers.
Joe Biden, who is recovering from Covid-19, contributed to the unity ceremony by declaring, in a remote intervention from his home, that “the name at the top of the ticket has changed, but the mission is the same.” The president declared that “we have to save this country. Trump is still a danger to the community“It is a danger to the nation.”
Even the main union In the US, the AFL-CIO, which is very close to Biden, has expressed its support for Harris, despite the fact that she has never shown the slightest interest in the white working class, which is increasingly moving in the direction of Donald Trump.