The agreement between United States el’Iran holds up, for now. Despite contradictory statements on the contents of the “page and a half” of the memorandum. For the American president, Donald Trump“the agreement is fair and will be finalized within the sixty days foreseen by the roadmap”. The ceremony was made official by the Swiss authorities for Friday at the Burgenstock resort on Lake Lucerne. The same location where the global conference for Ukraine was held in June 2024.
However, Trump is accelerating towards normalizing relations with Teheran. On the sidelines of G7 underway in Evian, the head of the White House claimed that “the most difficult part of the negotiation is now behind us”. “I believe that the roadmap will be respected. Iran wants to reach an agreement and needs to return to normality,” he said during a meeting with the president of the Emirates, Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
Media, agreement allows him to sell oil immediately
The United States will allow Iran to immediately begin selling oil and fuel under the memorandum of understanding the two sides reached to end the war, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing sources familiar with the deal. The provision suspending sanctions on Iranian oil sales will come into force once the deal is signed this week and will also cover services such as banking, transportation and insurance to facilitate sales, the US newspaper reported.
The positions of China and the European Union
Not everyone is convinced. Both for the China that for theEuropean Union “the hardest part starts right now.” The High Representative for Foreign Policy of Brussels, Kaja Kallawarned that “the EU rejects any measure that imposes additional costs on maritime transport in the Strait of Hormuz” and that any agreement “must respect international law.”
The conditions of the agreement
For Trump “the only thing that really matters is that theIran does not have another nuclear weapon” but ensures “that the opening of Hormuz will happen without any tollnot only these sixty days but always”. Just as it denies any obligation to “invest in the country’s economy”. In recent hours the Financial Times had spoken of an American allocation for a total of 300 billion dollars. “These are ridiculous rumours”, the former tycoon defined them.
Waiting for the official text
However, some more clarity is expected with the publication of the text and Trump has assured that there will be no lack of transparency. “I’m not just going to publish it, I’m probably going to hold a press conference and read it to you comma by comma to make sure the press reports it correctly.” He also stated that he would submit the memorandum to the American Congresswhile showing confidence in the outcome of the parliamentary examination.
The Lebanon and Israel knot
For Tehran “the most important point of the protocol concerns the cessation of the war in Lebanon” and considers it binding also for Israel. Therefore the maintenance of the occupation troops in the South of the country – according to the Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi – is a “violation of the memorandum”.
Tensions with Israel
The American leader has indeed acknowledged that tensions related to Lebanon and to remain Hezbollah. He criticized the recent Israeli attack on Beirut which occurred a few hours after the conclusion of the agreement and invited the prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu to show greater responsibility. “I didn’t like what happened. Bibi must be more responsible with respect to Lebanon,” he said, while reiterating the solidity of the alliance between Washington and Israel.
Future prospects
He made a further proposal: “If Israel can’t manage Hezbollah without killing, it could think about it Syria“. Trump also ruled out that the issue of regime change in Tehran has ever represented a priority of his administration. “I have never been interested in regime change. I have seen these attempts for years and they have never worked.” According to the president, the Iranian interlocutors currently involved in the negotiations are “rational people”, interested in promoting the development of their country.
The next stages of the negotiation
On the same day as the signing in Lucerne, a new phase of negotiations should open which is intended to transform the protocol into a definitive agreement. According to Araghchi, future talks will have to address two central issues: the Iranian nuclear program and the revocation of US sanctions which weigh on the economy of the Islamic Republic.
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