Iran-USA, agreement close? Very high tension, but according to the analyst Washington is “in a hurry”

“I believe that the agreement is now within reach, even if the final solution on the nuclear dossier has not yet been reached. That will come later”, states the teacher, according to whom the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has had an enormous impact on the global energy market, creating pressures that the American Administration can no longer afford to ignore. “Markets were hugely affected by the shutdown of Hormuz. The resulting inflationary pressures and disruptions to supply chains were not something Trump could ignore for much longer,” he explains.

Tehran, he continues, for its part is capable of using its control over the Strait as a negotiating leverage. “Iran will reopen the strait only when it is guaranteed important concessions. And it also knows it can close it at any time if developments do not go in the desired direction”, declares Boroujerdi, according to whom Washington is now showing greater urgency in reaching an agreement. “In my opinion, Washington is more eager to reach an agreement, while Tehran can afford to wait longer because she wants to make sure that a useless agreement is not reached and that she is not attacked again.”

Boroujerdi also analyzes the China’s crucial role in the crisishighlighting how the Asian giant imports 70% of its oil needs, 30% of which passes through the strait. “Beijing does not only buy crude oil from Iran, but also from the other Gulf countries and has a huge interest in seeing this war end”, believes the expert, recalling that China “needs commercial stability”.

Finally, the professor highlights the “internal divisions” present in both the United States and Iran and which are holding back an agreement. “Trump will have difficulty presenting this agreement as better than the one in 2015 and will receive criticism from the most conservative and pro-Israeli circles – he concludes – Even in Iran, the hawks are observing the evolution of the negotiations with extreme attention with the aim of ensuring that no one is selling out the country”.