Vannacci’s National Future overtakes the League in the polls

Supermedia today ‘certifies’ the Futuro Nazionale overtakes the League, already announced by several polls in recent weeks. In fact, FN rises above 6%, growing by a further 0.9% in the last two weeks, while the centre-right as a whole retreats by exactly the same amount, and the League drops to 5.8% (-0.4%). The opposition parties, on the other hand, are stable: Campo Largo’s advantage over the center-right thus rises to over 2 and a half points.

The Supermedia list

• FDI 27,7 (-0,1)
• PD 21,5 (+0,1)
• M5S 13.0 (+0.2)
• Forza Italia 7.8 (-0.2)
• Greens/Left 6.5 (-0.1)
• National Future 6.2 (+0.9)
• Lega 5,8 (-0,4)
• Share 3.0 (-0.2)
• Italia Viva 2.3 (=)
• +Europa 1,3 (-0,1)
• We Moderates 1.0 (-0.1)

The Supermedia coalitions 2022

• Centre-right 42.3 (-0.9)
• Centre-left 29.4 (=)
• M5S 13.0 (+0.2)
• Third Pole 6.5 (-0.3)
• Others 8.8 (+1.0)

The Supermedia Coalitions 2026:

• Long field 44.7 (+0.2)
• Centre-right 42.3 (-0.9)
• National Future 6.2 (+0.9)
• Center 4.2 (-0.3) Others 2.6 (+0.1)
• NB: the variations in brackets indicate the deviation compared to the Superaverage of two weeks ago (25 June 2026).

NOTE: The Youtrend/Agi Supermedia is a weighted average of national polls on voting intentions. Today’s weighting, which includes surveys carried out from 25 June to 8 July, was carried out on 9 July based on the sample size, the date of completion and the data collection method. The surveys considered were carried out by the institutes Demopolis (publication date: 26 June and 1 July), Ipsos (27 June), Ixè (7 July), Piepoli (3 July), SWG (29 June and 6 July), Tecnè (27, 29 June, 4 July) and Youtrend (3 July). The detailed methodological note of each survey considered is available on the official website www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it.