“The Russians in my opinion just need to move and travel”
On the slowdown in the convoy’s progress he said it may be a proactive move by Russia: “There is a concept in the concept called an operative stop, they say we make a stop and stop as much as necessary to organize themselves, reorganize the thought – then go ahead. Some claim they have made such a stop since The beginning of the fighting, recalculate the route. ”
Slovik adds that the big challenge for the Russian army is not the actual progress to Kiev logistically, but what will happen in terms of fighting when it reaches its destination: “The real story is how you know how to realize your logistics over time in a built-up space. “Kyiv with tanks I guess they will do it. The Russians in my opinion just need to move and drive. Then they will get to their positions and then they will stand there.”
“A new and fascinating story”
The former senior officer believes that Ukrainian resistance in Kiev to Russian forces will be, but the response will be limited: “Now is the time to start operating anti-tank launchers and sniper fire and other such means. When the Russians entered Afghanistan did anyone think Afghans had a chance? Now if you ask me for a long time, it will not hold water. In the end you have to make your enemy be shaken with confidence, and then he starts doing nonsense. “So if they do not do it with anti-tank weapons, snipers, explosives, then it will not happen.”
“The real story in this event is how much logistical capability and logistical planning do,” he concludes. “The Ukrainians have no chance against the Russians, but I think a completely new kind of non-binary war is developing here. There is one country or one side that uses one very conventional way, even though it uses cyber and advanced warfare, even though it is what is called the Hard Cold War. Decided to act against him in a completely different kind of war – and that’s what’s interesting about this story: this is the first time it’s happening in history – someone is fighting a kinetic (physical) war and a completely different war is being waged against him, something we did not know in these dimensions. “Which is stronger, the kinetics or the sanction. It’s a new and fascinating story.”