‘Godzilla El Niño’ threatens the world! Experts warn: ‘This will have serious consequences…’

The consequences could be seen around the world. While long-term droughts are expected in Australia, parts of Asia and Africa, some areas of North and South America could face heavy rainfall, floods and strong storms.

Of particular concern is the possibility of serious disruptions in global food production. A combination of extreme droughts and heavy rains could reduce the yields of many agricultural crops, which could be reflected in rising food prices around the world. An additional problem is represented by severalć high costs of agricultural production, including fertilizer prices and logistical challenges on the world market.

Food systems expert Mike Rivington from the James Hutton Institute warns that climate disruptions could further exacerbate inflationary pressures. According to his words, due to the fear of shortages, countries could start creating larger food stocks, which would further increase demand and prices on the market.

A particularly sensitive area is India, where monsoon rains play a key role in the production of food for more than a billion people. A weakening monsoon could seriously threaten agricultural production and food security.

“Each new climate shock reduces the system’s resistance to the next one. It is increasingly difficult for us to maintain stable food production,” warns Rivington.

History shows that El Niño has often been associated with major natural disasters. At the end of the 19th century, the extreme weather conditions associated with this phenomenon contributed to a famine that claimed millions of lives in the tropical regions of the world. The last extremely strong El Niño, between 2015 and 2016, caused one of the most severe droughts in South Africa, leading to large losses in maize production and the need for urgent food imports.

In addition to the economic consequences, experts also warn of possible new waves of migration. In many poorer regions, the population is directly dependent on agriculture for their own survival. When crops fail due to drought or floods, residents often have no choice but to leave their homes.

In East Africa, El Niño regularly brings heavy rains and floods that destroy infrastructure and displace the population, while in parts of Central America it often causes severe droughts and food shortages.

Professor Paul Behrens from the University of Oxford emphasizes that most climate migrations remain within the borders of individual countries.

“People generally don’t want to leave their homeland. Conditions have to become extremely difficult for them to decide to leave,” he explains.

Experts also warn about the possible connection of climate disturbances with political instability. As an example, Syria is often cited, where a multi-year drought before the outbreak of the civil war forced a large number of people to move from rural areas to cities.

An additional risk also threatens the countries of the African Sahel, which are increasing. for years they have been struggling with food shortages, poverty and the activities of extremist groups. New waves of drought could further worsen the situation, increase the dissatisfaction of the population and create space for the strengthening of security threats.

Although it is still too early for precise estimates of the scale of the consequences, experts warn that this year’s El Niño could have global consequences that will be felt for years. From rising food prices and economic problems to migration and political instability, the impact of this climate phenomenon could become one of the biggest challenges for the world in the coming period.