Los The effects of climate change will reduce average income by 18% in Spain in 2050, more than in France (13%) and Italy (15%). This is what he has advanced economic study published in the magazine Nature made by him Potsdam Climate Impact Research Institute in Germany.
“The main factor that determines that Spain suffered more heat than other European countries is that It usually has a warmer climate than France and Italy“, points out by email the study author, Maximilian Kotzwhich indicates that with the high temperatures hornbeam Stronger declines in agricultural and labor productivity. In addition, he adds that “the hottest regions of Spain will have more days per year that exceed the thresholds at which productivity decreases.”
The main damages, which are due to increase and variability of temperatures are added the changes in precipitation that can be intensified by other climatic extremes such as storms or forest firesas advanced by experts, who collect information from 1,600 regions from all over the world last four decades and make projections for the next 26 years.
Las income reductions will affect most regions, including North America and Europe being the south of Asia and Africa the most affected, Kotz asserts. “These continents are the hottest and currently present climatic conditions close to those in which labor and agricultural productivity falls,” he adds.
The report indicates that Every year 38 billion dollars are lost worldwide and by mid-century the world economy can reduce your income by 19%. Scientists arrived at these projections by combining empirical models with climate simulators, as well as considering how climate impacts affected the economy in the past.
PIK scientist Leonie Wenz, who led the scientific study, adds that the countries least responsible for climate change: “They will suffer a 60% greater loss of income than that of countries with higher incomes, and 40% more than countries with higher emissions”.