Supermedia AGI/Youtrend, the center-right goes up and Campo Largo appears

If last week had been a Supermedia very positive for the forces of oppositiontoday’s could represent the “recovery” for those of government. In the last two weeks, in fact, the centre-right gained almost half a point (0.4%) while the long field has fallen back by the same amount: the result is that now the two coalitions are separated, on paper, by just 0.1%, and are therefore, in fact, practically paired.

This, in detail, is the Supermedia list: FDI 28,4 (+0,2), PD 22,0 (-0,4), M5S 12,6 (-0,2), Forza Italia 8,2 (=), Lega 7,3 (+0,3), Greens/Left 6,4 (-0,1), National Future 3,6 (+0,2), Action 3,0 (-0,1), Italia Viva 2,5 (+0,1), +Europa 1,6 (+0,1), We Moderates 1,2 (+0,1).

Supermedia coalitions 2022

This one Supermedia Coalitions 2022: Centre-right 45,0 (+0,4), Centre-left 30,0 (-0,4), M5S 12,6 (-0,2), Third Pole 5,5 (-0,1), Others 6,9 (+0,2).

Supermedia coalitions 2026

This, however, is the Supermedia Coalitions 2026: long field 45,1 (-0,5), Centre-right 45,0 (+0,4), National Future 3,6 (+0,2), Action 3,0 (-0,1), Others 3,4 (-0,2).

Note on variations

NB: the variations in brackets indicate the deviation from the Supermedia from two weeks ago (April 30, 2026).

Methodological note

USE: the Supermedia Youtrend/Agi is a weighted average of national polls on voting intentions. Today’s weighting, which includes surveys carried out from April 30th to May 13th, was carried out on May 14th based on the sample size, the date of completion and the data collection method. The surveys considered were carried out by the institutes Demos (publication date: May 8), EMG (8 maggio), Eumetra (7 maggio), Noto (April 30), Only Numbers (6 and 13 May), Piepoli (6 maggio), SWG (4 and 11 May) e Tecnè (8 May). The detailed methodological note of each survey considered is available on the official website www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it.