The last ‘Supermedia‘ before the summer break presents rather solid data, thanks to a twist in the publication of the findings, which confirm that FdI has fallen below 27%, practically for the first time after the start of the legislature.
The growth of Fn is also confirmed, now clearly ahead not only of the League but also of Avs, and also a decline in the centre-right which perfectly mirrors, moreover, the growth (0.6%) of Vannacci‘s party. As for the rest, all the political forces appear stable.
The Supermedia lists:
- FDI 26.7 (-0.3)
- PD 21.2 (-0.1)
- M5S 13.0 (+0.2)
- Forza Italia 8.0 (-0.1)
- Futuro Nazionale 7.1 (+0.6)
- Greens/Left 6.4 (-0.1)
- League 5.9 (=)
- Action 3.1 (=)
- Italia Viva 2.3 (-0.1)
- +Europe 1.4 (+0.1)
- We Moderates 1.0 (-0.2)
The Supermedia Coalitions 2022:
- Centre-right 41.6 (-0.6)
- Centre-left 29.0 (-0.1)
- M5S 13.0 (+0.2) Third Pole 6.6 (-0.5)
- Another 9.8 (+1.0)
The Supermedia coalitions 2026:
- Wide field 44.3 (=)
- Centre-right 41.6 (-0.6)
- Futuro Nazionale 7.1 (+0.6)
- Centre 4.3 (-0.5)
- Another 2.7 (+0.5)
NB: the variations in brackets indicate the deviation compared to the Superaverage of two weeks ago (16 July 2026).
NOTE: The Youtrend/Agi Supermedia is a weighted average of national polls on voting intentions. Today’s weighting, which includes surveys carried out from 16 to 29 July, was carried out on 30 July based on the sample size, the date of completion and the data collection method.
The surveys considered were carried out by the institutes Demopolis (publication date: 29 July), EMG (24 July), Ipsos (25 July), SWG (20 and 27 July) and Youtrend (24 July). The detailed methodological note of each survey considered is available on the official website www.sondaggipoliticoelettorali.it.